perm filename ANDROP.NS[1,JMC] blob sn#741944 filedate 1984-02-10 generic text, type T, neo UTF8
a274  2045  09 Feb 84
AM-Andropov,220
Report: Soviet TV Changes Programming
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Soviet television unexpectedly changed its
scheduled programming to classical Thursday night followed by similar
changes in state radio broadcasts, The Washington Post reported in
Friday editions.
    The reported changes come amid the extended illness of Societ leader
Yuri Andropov and the Post reported in a Moscow-datelined story that
they appear to indicate the country is being placed on an emergency
footing.
    In Washington, State Department analysts who spoke on condition they
remain anonymous said they have heard the reports of classical music
played on Moscow radio.
    They said, however, that the U.S. embassy in Moscow reports that the
music was not funeral dirges. The embassy also had no information to
indicate that Andropov or anyone else prominent has died, the
analysts reported.
    The analysts pointed out that the most recent indication of a
seriously ill person in the Moscow hierarchy was Defense Minister
Marshal Dmitri Ustinov, 75, who canceled a trip to India last week for
unexplained reasons.
    One analyst said Ustinov was seen checking into a Kremlin clinic and
''he looked bad ... he looked older than his 75 years.''
    On Soviet TV, a Swedish presentation was canceled in favor of
classical music, but two hockey games from Sarajevo, Yugoslavia, also
were telecast, reducing the chance that Andropov is dead.
    
ap-ny-02-09 2344EDT
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a278  2131  09 Feb 84
AM-Andropov, 1st Ld-Writethru, a274,310
Eds: Tops with CBS News report; edits throughout; adds 1 graf of
background.
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Soviet leader Yuri Andropov underwent a kidney
transplant within the past 24 hours and is seriously ill, CBS News
reported Thursday night.
    The Washington Post, meanwhile, reported that Soviet television
unexpectedly changed its scheduled programming to classical music
Thursday night followed by similar changes in state radio broadcasts.
    The reported programming changes appear to indicate the country is
being placed on an emergency footing, the Post reported in a story in
Friday editions.
    CBS said that Andropov could not be moved following the reported
transplant.
    In Washington, State Department analysts who spoke on condition they
remain anonymous told The Associated Press that they have heard the
reports of classical music played on Moscow radio.
    They said, however, that the U.S. embassy in Moscow reports that the
music was not funeral dirges. The embassy also had no information to
indicate that Andropov or anyone else prominent has died, the
analysts reported.
    The analysts said that the most recent indication of a seriously ill
person in the Moscow hierarchy was Defense Minister Marshal Dmitri
Ustinov, 75, who canceled a trip to India last week for unexplained
reasons.
    One analyst said Ustinov was seen checking into a Kremlin clinic and
''he looked bad ... he looked older than his 75 years.''
    On Soviet TV, a Swedish presentation was canceled in favor of
classical music, but two hockey games from Sarajevo, Yugoslavia, also
were telecast, the analyst said.
    In the past, changes in programming in the Soviet Union have been
made before the announcement of the death of a senior political
figure. That was the case on the night of Nov. 9, 1982, just before
the formal announcement the next day that President Leonid Brezhnev
had died.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0029EDT
 - - - - - -

a005  2210  09 Feb 84
AM-Andropov, 2nd Ld-Writethru, a278,520
EDs: Recasts lead to focus on reports of program changes; adds detail
on report earlier in the week of Andropov transplant; includes
corrected CBS report, edits throughout
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Soviet television unexpectedly changed its
scheduled programming to classical music Thursday night amid reports
that Soviet leader Yuri Andropov was seriously ill, according to news
reports.
    The Washington Post reported that the change in Soviet television
programming was followed by similar changes in state radio broadcasts,
changes that appear to indicate the country is being placed on an
emergency footing.
    CBS News, meanwhile, reported that Andropov was in feeble condition
and could not be moved following a successful kidney transplant. CBS
initially said the transplant had occurred within the past 24 hours,
but later said the transplant had occurred recently.
    On Monday, a West German expert on the Kremlin, Eberhard Schneider,
told The Associated Press that a ''well-informed'' Soviet source had
told him that Andropov had undergone a kidney transplant and had
recovered enough to be working ''more than two days a week.''
    State Department analysts who spoke on condition they remain
anonymous told the AP on Thursday night that they had heard the
reports of classical music played on Moscow radio.
    They said, however, that the U.S. Embassy in Moscow reports that the
music was not funeral dirges. The embassy also had no information to
indicate that Andropov or anyone else prominent has died, the
analysts reported.
    In the past, changes in programming in the Soviet Union have been
made before the announcement of the death of a senior political
figure. That was the case on the night of Nov. 9, 1982, just before
the formal announcement the next day that President Leonid Brezhnev
had died.
    The analysts in Washington said that the most recent indication of a
seriously ill person in the Moscow hierarchy was Defense Minister
Marshal Dmitri Ustinov, 75, who canceled a trip to India last week for
unexplained reasons.
    One analyst said Ustinov was seen checking into a Kremlin clinic and
''he looked bad ... he looked older than his 75 years.''
    On Soviet TV, a Swedish presentation was canceled in favor of
classical music, but two hockey games from Sarajevo, Yugoslavia, also
were telecast, the analyst said.
    Schneider, a specialist in the Soviet leadership at the Federal
Institute of Scientific East and International Studies in Cologne,
said he did not know when Andropov had the operation. He said he had
known his source for many years ''and he has never told me anything
wrong.''
    Schneider said Andropov was expected to give a speech in public
sometime before the elections to the Supreme Soviet on March 4.
    Rumors about Andropov's health have been rampant for months. He has
not been seen in public since August of last year, when he met with a
delegation of U.S. congressmen.
    Since then, there have been unconfirmed reports that Andropov had
undergone kidney dialysis or that he had problems with gallstones. A
London newspaper at one point ran a story claiming he may have been
shot by Leonid Brezhnev's son.
    The Soviets have blamed his absence on a ''cold'' or on undisclosed
''temporary'' conditions.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0109EDT
 - - - - - -

a010  2245  09 Feb 84
AM-Andropov, Advisory,
URGENT
    Upcoming within 15 minutes is a lead to AM-Andropov, a278, to update
with programming normal in Moscow and no word of any deaths in the
Soviet hierarchy. The story will carry a Moscow dateline.
    The AP
    
ap-ny-02-10 0144EDT
 - - - - - -

a013  2320  09 Feb 84
AM-Andropov, 3rd Ld-Writethru, a005,450
PRECEDE Washington
Eds: Programming near normal in Moscow, rewrites throughout.
    MOSCOW (AP) - Soviet television broadcasts were altered slightly
Friday, and some American news organizations reported indications
there may have been an illness or death in the Soviet hierarchy.
    News, documentary and an exercise program went on as scheduled on
radio and television. However, the television replaced a scheduled
modern film with one about the Soviet revolution, and scheduled
classical music programs played somber selections.
    There was no official announcement of any death in the Soviet
hierarchy.
    The Washington Post reported in Friday's editions that Soviet
television unexpectedly changed its scheduled programming to classical
music on Thursday night and that state radio broadcasts followed with
the change.
    It said the changes appeared to indicate the country was being
placed on an emergency footing, possibly due to the death of Soviet
leader Yuri Andropov, who has not been seen in public since last
August.
    But Associated Press staff members said that Soviet television
programming appeared normal until at least midnight with coverage of
the winter Olympics, the news and a film.
    In the morning, Soviet radio stations were playing - as scheduled -
an exercise program, classical music and a program on ''Japan and the
Cold War.'' Television showed a documentary and a travel film.
    CBS News, meanwhile, reported Thursday night that Andropov recently
underwent a kidney transplant and could not be moved.
    A West German expert on the Kremlin made a similar report on Monday.
Eberhard Schneider of the Federal Institute for Scientific East and
International Studies in Cologne said Soviet informants told him
Andropov had received a kidney transplant, but had recovered enough to
work two days a week.
    In Washington, State Department analysts who spoke on condition they
remain anonymous told the AP that the U.S. Embassy in Moscow had no
information to indicate that Andropov or anyone else prominent has
died.
    The analysts said that the most recent indication of a seriously ill
person in the Moscow hierarchy was Defense Minister Marshal Dmitri
Ustinov, 75, who canceled a trip to India last week for unexplained
reasons.
    One analyst said Ustinov was seen checking into a Kremlin clinic and
''he looked bad ... he looked older than his 75 years.''
    In the past, changes in programming in the Soviet Union have been
made before the announcement of the death of a senior political
figure. That was the case on the night of Nov. 9, 1982, just before
the formal announcement the next day that President Leonid Brezhnev
had died.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0218EDT
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a004  2200  09 Feb 84
AM-Andropov
Bust It
    
ap-ny-02-10 0059EDT
***************

n503  2221  09 Feb 84
BC-SUMMARY-4takes-02-10
    EDITORS: Following is a complete summary of today's Independent
Press Service report. The editors can be reached at 312-321-2801.
    
    FRIDAY, Feb. 10, 1984
    
    THE TOP OF THE NEWS
    
    RONLEBANON (Santa Barbara) - The Reagan administration, seeking to
avoid another confrontation with Congress, argues that the U.S.
bombardment of Syrian-held territory in Lebanon is legal under
congressional authority because it is done partly to protect U.S.
Marines against hostile fire. Related stories are under
INTERNATIONAL. (Timberg - Baltimore Sun -950)
    
    SALVADOR (Mexico City) - Salvadoran guerrilla leaders propose
forming a ''provisional government of broad participation'' that
would hold general elections. The rebels' most detailed offer yet to
negotiate an end to the war calls for direct U.S. involvement in
talks to set up the government. (Bock - Baltimore Sun - 900)
    
    
    BEHIND THE HEADLINES
    
    LEBTROUB (Nicosia) - A NEWS ANALYSIS: The blueprint for Lebanon's
civil strife was prepared nine months ago when a group of Lebanese
politicians met and vowed to resist the troop withdrawal pact with
Israel. The blueprint smelled of gunpower. (Borowiec - Sun-Times - 
750)
    
    ECONOMY (Washington) - The U.S. economy, the world's biggest and
arguably its strongest for the last three decades, is becoming less
and less resilient as it increasingly relies on investment from
abroad to provide a borrowing pool large enough to finance the
federal budget deficit. (Taylor - Newhouse -  750)
    
    
    THE HUMAN SIDE
    
    DOLLY (Irving, Texas) - A trust fund established to help finance a
liver transplant for 3-year-old Jonathon Lehman receives an unusual
donation: two Cabbage Patch dolls. (Gordon - Dallas News - 400)
    
    ELEPHANTS (Dallas) - While the Republicans are holding their
nominating convention, the Dallas Museum of Natural History will
stage an exhibit titled ''Gentle Giants: The Natural History of
Elephants.'' (Rohrer - Dallas News - 450)
    
    
    INTERNATIONAL
    
    ARGENTINA (Buenos Aires) - New President Raul Alfonsin faces his
first serious challenge as the minions of labor assemble at the
National Congress to protest new legislation which would reorganize
unions that for so many decades have held sway over Argentina's
political life. (O'Mara - Baltimore Sun -  1,000)
    
    CONGRESS (Washington) - A bipartisan backlash flays President
Reagan's new strategy in Lebanon, with angry congressmen criticizing
his indefinite schedule for the withdrawal of U.S. Marines and his
increased use of Navy guns and planes against Syrian-held territory.
(Trewhitt, Schwerzler - Baltimore Sun -  1,100)
    
    BEIRUT (Beirut) - Moslem militia leaders act to control extremist
pro-Iranian soldiers in an attempt to restore law and order to West
Beirut. One of the extremists is reported shot. (Coughlin - Telegraph
-  700)
    
    ISRAEL (Jerusalem) - Israel warns Druze leader Walid Jumblatt that
it may act to clear terrorists from Druze-held areas of Lebanon if
the Druze militias do not honor a commitment to keep out terrorists.
(Asher - Telegraph - 600)
    
    KOHL (Bonn) - Chancellor Helmut Kohl says West Germany will take
into consideration Israeli concern when it decides on possible arms
sales to Saudi Arabia. (Farr - Telegraph -  350)
    
    GERMAN (Bonn) - Two West German ministers appear before
parliamentary committees of inquiry to explain their roles in the
''Flick'' and ''Kiessling'' affairs. (Farr - Telegraph -  300)
    
    CHEMARMS (London) - Britain will introduce new proposals on methods
of checking the alarming growth of chemical weapons, particularly
those of the Soviet Union, says a Foreign Office official. (Gedye -
Telegraph -  500)
    
    ANDROPOV (Stockholm) - Speculation over the state of health of
Soviet President Yuri Andropov heightens after the Soviet leader's
son hurriedly returns to Moscow from Stockholm. (Isherwood -
Telegraph - 250)
    
    RFEFLAP (Washington) - Cries of outrage are heard after Radio Free
Europe reporters are banned from the Olympics by unanimous vote of
the IOC executive board, which includes a U.S. representative. (Hines
- Sun-Times -  700)
    
    
    NATIONAL
    
    DEFICIT (Washington) - House Majority Leader Jim Wright tells the
White House that Democrats in Congress will not discuss reducing
federal budget deficits until President Reagan agrees on ways to cut
''runaway'' defense spending. (Nelson - Dallas News -  550)
    
    IOWA (Des Moines) - By announcing that he will visit Iowa on the
night of the party caucuses for a rally to upstage the fractious
Democratic opposition, President Reagan throws Republican Party
officials into confusion and fear that he will take attention and
attendance away from the GOP caucuses. (Furgurson - Baltimore Sun -
650)
    
    ASKEW (Des Moines) - The negative outcome of a mock presidential
election held to train Reubin Askew caucus workers catches the
candidate's Iowa campaign chief by surprise. The result shows that
the Askew volunteers are out of the mainstream of the state's
traditional liberal Democratic activists. (Talbott - Sun-Times - 850)
    
    GLENN (Chicago) - Sen. John Glenn announces an expansion of his
Illinois presidential campaign staff as Apollo 7 astronaut Donn
Eisele stumped Chicago for the Ohioan's cause. (Beaton - Sun-Times - 
300)
    
    JACKSON (Chicago) - While Mayor Washington Thursday condemns the
''unholy alliance'' between politicians and Chicago gangs,
presidential contender Jesse Jackson was at City Hall praising the
city's most notorious gang for its support. (Mitchell, Golden -
Sun-Times -  500)
    
    JESSE (Chicago) - Mayor Harold Washington has virtually decided to
declare a preference for Jesse Jackson for president. (Golden -
Sun-Times -  300)
    MORE
    
nyt-02-10-84 0107est
***************

a020  0033  10 Feb 84
PM-Reagan's Crises, Bjt,700
Reagan's Crisis-Ridden Vacations
By MAUREEN SANTINI
Associated Press Writer
    SANTA BARBARA, Calif. (AP) - Crises, especially of the Middle East
variety, seem to have a way of breaking out during President Reagan's
vacations.
    The latest instance was the deteriorating situation in Lebanon that
prompted the president's decision to withdraw U.S. Marines from
Beirut to Navy ships offshore, which were authorized to step up
shelling.
    That policy change was announced Monday, just moments after the
president arrived in California to begin a five-day vacation at his
ranch in the Santa Ynez Mountains, the 18th visit there since his
inauguration as president three years ago.
    White House officials and reporters traveling with Reagan have
become so accustomed to expecting the unexpected during these trips
that they often joke about it.
    ''It's always talked about,'' deputy White House press secretary
Larry Speakes said Thursday. ''What will happen this time? But it's
purely coincidence.''
    Perhaps that's as good of an explanation as any, since Reagan likes
to visit his ranch - often with side trips to Los Angeles - about
every other month. In the summer, he sometimes spends several weeks at
the ranch.
    The crises range from international problems over which Reagan has
no control to controversies sparked by his actions or those of his
aides, or simply his decision to announce a new policy.
    Sometimes, both happen at once.
    For instance, what could have become a serious crisis occurred Aug.
19, 1981, when two American F-14s involved in a naval exercise shot
down two Libyan fighters that had fired upon them 60 miles off the
coast of Libya.
    The incident occurred at 10:20 p.m. PDT, while Reagan was in Los
Angeles. The president was awake when the White House first learned of
it, but he went to bed without anyone telling him. He wasn't informed
until six hours later, after news reports had announced it to the
world.
    White House Counselor Edwin Meese, who was the top presidential aide
on duty, explained his decision to delay informing Reagan by saying:
''When higher levels of command get involved in the decision-making
you invariably foul it up.''
    That incident was the first in a series of major events that
occurred during Reagan's vacations. Here are some of the others:
    -On Dec. 29, 1981, when he was in Los Angeles, Reagan banned high
technology sales and imposed other trade sanctions on the Soviet Union
''to speak for those who have been silenced and to help those who
have been rendered helpless in Poland.''
    -On July 6, 1982, in Los Angeles, Reagan announced that he had
agreed to send a ''small contingent'' of American troops to Beirut to
help evacuate Palestinian guerrillas surrounded by Israeli forces.
    He said the United States was willing to contribute Marines to a
multinational peacekeeping force. Speakes said the force probably
would total up to 1,000 troops.
    -Aug. 25, 1982, in Santa Barbara, Reagan officially notified
Congress that U.S. Marines were landing in Beirut ''on a limited and
temporary basis.''
    -In March 1983, Reagan was in Santa Barbara when he ordered the
embattled Environmental Protection Agency to surrender all its
documents concerning the governent's toxic wastes cleanup fund to
House and Senate committees investigating the agency.
    -On Aug. 29, 1983, the president was at his ranch when he learned of
the first two combat deaths of U.S. Marines in Beirut. He expressed
profound sorrow, but ordered that the size and mission of the
peacekeeping force remain unchanged.
    -On Sept. 1, 1983, Reagan was still at his ranch when the Soviets
shot down an unarmed Korean airliner, killing 269 people, including 61
Americans. Reagan denounced it as a horrifying act of violence, and,
for the first time, cut short his vacation to return to the White
House to deal with the incident.
    -On Oct. 23, 1983, Reagan's quiet golfing weekend in Augusta, Ga.,
already marred by a gunman who crashed into the Augusta National Golf
Club in a pickup truck, was cut short when 241 American servicemen
were killed in Beirut.
    The president was awakened in the pre-dawn hours to be informed that
a suicide bomber had crashed a pickup truck packed with explosives
into the lobby of an airport building where the Americans were
sleeping.
    Speakes said that Reagan has the same ability to handle crises or
fast-breaking world developments at his ranch as at the White House.
    ''He's got every asset there that's available to him in the Oval
Office,'' Speakes said. ''His advisers are as close as the
telephone.''
    
ap-ny-02-10 0331EDT
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a054  0517  10 Feb 84
PM-Reagan's Crises, 1st Ld, a020,120
Eds: Top 4 grafs new with Andropov's death
By MAUREEN SANTINI
Associated Press Writer
    SANTA BARBARA, Calif. (AP) - Crises seem to have a way of breaking
out during President Reagan's vacations.
    Today, for instance, the death of Soviet President Yuri V. Andropov,
who had been ailing for months, was announced in Moscow. Reagan was
awakened in the middle of the night and informed that Andropov had
died.
    In Lebanon, the deteriorating situation prompted the president's
decision to withdraw U.S. Marines from Beirut to Navy ships offshore,
which were authorized to step up shelling.
    That policy change was announced Tuesday, just moments after the
president arrived in California to begin a five-day vacation at his
ranch in the Santa Ynez Mountains, the 18th visit there since his
inauguration as president three years ago.
    White House: 4th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 0816EDT
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a033  0237  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov,0533
Broadcast Changes Cause Speculation about Leader's Death
By ROXINNE ERVASTI
Associated Press Writer
    MOSCOW (AP) - Soviet television without explanation revised some
morning programming today and a radio station substituted classical
pieces for its usual music mix - practices that in the past preceded
the announcement of the death of a prominent party figure.
    President Yuri V. Andropov, 69, has not been seen in public since
August and is believed to be seriously ailing. Defense Minister Dmitri
F. Ustinov, 75, suddenly canceled a trip to India this week without
explanation, and there have been unconfirmed reports that he is ill.
    By midmorning, there had been no announcement of any deaths.
    CBS news, meanwhile, reported that Andropov was in feeble condition
and could not be moved following a recent kidney transplant.
    On Monday, a West German expert on the Kremlin, Eberhard Schneider,
told The Associated Press in Bonn that a ''well-informed'' Soviet
source had told him that Andropov had undergone a kidney transplant
and had recovered enough to be working ''more than two days a week.''
    In Pravda, the morning newspaper of the Communist Party, Andropov
was quoted. However, Pravda goes to press early the previous evening.
    Western correspondents who drove around the Kremlin, the Defense
Ministry and other public buildings this morning saw no unusual
activity.
    In Washington, State Department analysts said they had no indication
that anyone prominent had died.
    The Washington Post reported that the Soviet ambassador to the
United States, Anatoly F. Dobrynin, attended a State Department
reception in the capital Thursday night and did not appear concerned
over events in Moscow.
    Soviet television programs listed an art film to be aired this
morning, but instead an epic about the Soviet revolution was shown.
    The ''Good Morning'' radio comedy program was canceled without
explanation and music by Tchaikovsky was played instead. Several
Soviets who usually tune into the program were surprised about the
cancellation, and some wondered whether it meant a prominent figure
had died.
    Pravda's television schedule listed program changes, including
scrubbing a popular music review program this evening for a concert.
    The radio station ''Mayak'' (Beacon) held to its normal routine of
music interrupted by twice-hourly newscasts, but did instead of its
usual program of folk and popular music, it played somber pieces by
Rachmaninoff and Tchaikovsky.
    There were programming changes on the night of Nov. 9, 1982 - the
day before the formal announcement that President Leonid I. Brezhnev
had died.
    On Thursday night, a Soviet transmission via satellite of the
U.S.-Czechoslovakian hockey game was broken off.
    Spectators said the transmission from the Olympic Games faltered at
8:30 p.m. (3:30 p.m. EST). When the television program went back on
2 1/2 hours later, the Czechoslovakians instead of the Soviets were
transmitting the Olympic game at Sarejevo, Yugoslavia. No reasons were
given for the interruption or switch.
    In Singapore, rumors that Andropov was seriously ill set off heavy
buying of the U.S. dollar on the foreign exchange market.
    A broker in Tokyo said the market there was little affected by
speculation about Andropov's condition because reports that he was ill
had been circulating for months.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0535EDT
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a036  0305  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 1st Ld, a033,0053
BULLETIN
Soviet President Dead
    BRUSSELS, Belgium (AP) - French Foreign Minister Claude Cheysson
said today that Soviet President Yuri V. Andropov has died.
    Andropov, the former KGB chief who was out of public view for six of
the 15 months he led the Soviet Union, was 69.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0604EDT
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a039  0317  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 2nd Ld, a036,a033,120
URGENT
PRECEDE Moscow
Eds: Adds details.
    BRUSSELS, Belgium (AP) - French Foreign Minister Claude Cheysson
said today that Soviet President Yuri V. Andropov has died.
    Andropov, the former KGB chief who was out of public view for six of
the 15 months he led the Soviet Union, was 69.
    Cheysson made the announcement at a ministerial meeting in Brussels,
according to officials attending the meeting.
    The officials said Cheysson, chairman of the gathering, interrupted
the meeting briefly and made the following announcement:
    ''I have to interrupt this meeting for an important announcement.
Yuri Andropov is dead. The party leader of one of the greatest
countries of the world has passed away.''
    MORE
    
ap-ny-02-10 0616EDT
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a037  0311  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, Advisory,
URGENT
    
    Eds: Upcoming shortly will be a 2nd Ld to PM-Andropov, summing up
reports of death and rumors. There has been no official word from the
Kremlin.
    
    The AP
    
ap-ny-02-10 0607EDT
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a041  0337  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 3rd Ld,0048
BULLETIN
    MOSCOW (AP) - President Yuri V. Andropov is dead, the Soviet Union
announced today. He was 69 and had been leader of the Communist Party
for 15 months, ailing and out of public view for almost half of his
leadership.
    More
    
ap-ny-02-10 0629EDT
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a043  0407  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 4th Ld-Writethru, a041,0648
URGENT
PRECEDE Brussels
Soviets Announce Andropov Died
By ROXINNE ERVASTI
Associated Press Writer
    MOSCOW (AP) - President Yuri V. Andropov is dead, the Soviet Union
announced today. He was 69 and had been leader of the Communist Party
for 15 months, ailing and out of public view for almost half of his
leadership.
    The announcement of his death ended six months of reports that he
was seriously ill with kidney and heart problems and suffering from
diabetes. He had not been seen in public since Aug. 18, when he met
with nine U.S. Democratic senators.
    The death was announced at 2:20 p.m. local time by the official
Soviet news agency Tass, on its English-language wire. Tass said he
died Thursday.
    Andropov took the leadership of the nation of 280 million people
after the death of President Leonid I. Brezhnev on Nov. 10, 1982. In
his brief term, he presided over a nation locked in an escalating arms
race with the United States and with troubled economy.
    He started a campaign to crack down on corruption and enhance labor
discipline and had placed his protoges in many key positions of the
Soviet hierarchy.
    ''The Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union,
the Presidium of the U.S.S.R. and the U.S.S.R. Council of Ministers
with deep sorrow inform the party and the entire Soviet people that
Yuri Vladimirovich Andropov, general secretary of the CPSU Central
Committee, president of the Presidium of the U.S.S.R. Supreme Soviet,
died after a long illness at 16 hours 50 minutes on Feb. 9, 1984,''
the announcement said.
    ''The name of Yuri Vladimirovich Andropov, an outstanding leader of
the Communist Party and of the Soviet state, a staunch fighter for
the ideals of Communism and for peace, will always remain in the
hearts of the Soviet people of the whole progressive humanity.''
    The announcement followed shortly after on the Russian language Tass
wire and Soviet television showed a photograph of the Kremlin,
interrupting its programming.
    On Friday morning - which dawned with the first steady snowfall in
Moscow in weeks - Soviet radio and television abandoned most scheduled
programming and played classical music, prompting Soviets and
foreigners in Moscow to speculate that a prominent figure had died.
    Because of the mixture of classical music, documentary films, and
winter Olympics programming on Soviet TV, there had been some
speculation that perhaps a prominent figure other than Andropov had
died.
    But coupled with the apparently abrupt return to Moscow of Igor
Andropov, the president's son and a member of the Soviet delegation at
the East-West disarmament conference in Stockholm, and the increasing
somberness of music, it became evident that the Soviet Union was
preparing to announce the death of its leader.
    A black-suited announcer read the death announcement slowly and
solemnly on the Soviet television while the same announcement was read
out over the state-run radio stations.
    There was no announcement of funeral plans.
    There also was no immediate announcement of a successor among the 12
surviving members of the ruling Politburo. After the death of
Brezhnev, it took two days to announce a new party chief, although
Andropov quickly emerged as the leading contender.
    Two of the most prominent members of the ruling body are Grigory V.
Romanov, the 61-year-old former Leningrad party boss who was brought
to Moscow by Andropov, and Mikhail Gorbachev, a 52-year-old who has
assumed more influence under Andropov and was said to have been his
liaison to the Politburo in Andropov's final months.
    Dmitri F. Ustinov, the defense minister, was said to be the most
powerful member on the Politburo after Andropov, but he is 75 years
old and perhaps ill himself.
    First word of the death came earlier today when the French foreign
minister, Claude Cheysson, said told a meeting of European and Third
World ministers in Brussels, Belgium, that Andropov had died.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0704EDT
 - - - - - -

a068  0643  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 5th Ld, a043,363
URGENT
EDS: New grafs 1-10 with new detail, brings up possible successors
By ROXINNE ERVASTI
Associated Press Writer
    MOSCOW (AP) - President Yuri V. Andropov died Thursday at age 69,
the Soviet Union announced today. He led the Communist Party for 15
months, ailing and out of public view the final six months of his
leadership.
    The announcement of his death ended months of reports that he was
seriously ill with kidney and heart problems and suffering from
diabetes. He had not been seen in public since Aug. 18, when he met
with nine U.S. Democratic senators.
    The Kremlin withheld announcement of his death for nearly 24 hours,
and there was no word on a possible successor.
    But if the Kremlin rulers decide to turn over the reins of power to
a younger generation, the names most frequently mentioned are Grigory
V. Romanov, 6l, and Mikhail S. Gorbachev, 52.
    Andropov's death was announced at 2:20 p.m. (6:20 a.m. EST) by the
official Soviet news agency Tass, on its English-language wire. Tass
said he died Thursday, but did not give a cause of death.
    The only official comment on Andropov's health came when he missed
the early November parade through Red Square. Officials said then he
was suffering from a cold.
    Andropov's brief tenure was marked by a deterioration of relations
with the United States and the rupture of talks between the
superpowers on limiting both strategic and medium-range nuclear
weapons. Relations were subject to additional strain on Sept. 1, l982
when the Soviet Union shot down a South Korean jetliner with the loss
of 269 lives.
    Andropov, former head of the KGB secret police for 15 years, took
the leadership of the nation of 280 million people after the death of
President Leonid I. Brezhnev on Nov. 9, 1982. Brezhnev led the
country for l8 years.
    He started a campaign to crack down on corruption and enhance labor
discipline and had placed his proteges in many key positions of the
Soviet hierarchy.
    Although Andropov was known to be ailing, the Kremlin issued a
series of statements and speeches bearing his name and officials
continued to insist until the end that he was functioning and making
decisions.
    ''The Central Committee: 6th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 0941EDT
 - - - - - -

a071  0704  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 5th Ld, Insert, a068,30
MOSCOW Insert one graf after 10th graf: Although Andropov xxx
decisions to include detail on announcement
    The Soviet people heard the news when a black-suited announcer read
the death announcement slowly and sullenly on Soviet television. He
said:
    ''The Central: 11th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1003EDT
 - - - - - -

a072  0713  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 5th Ld, Insert a068,10
MOSCOW Insert one graf after 13th graf: The announcement ... xxx
programming to update with funeral plans
    There was no announcement of funeral plans.
    On Friday: 14th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1004EDT
 - - - - - -

a077  0748  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 5th Ld, CORRECTION, a068,200
MOSCOW Sub 11th graf:The Soviet xxx he said: to CORRECT sullenly to
solemnly
    The Soviet people heard the news when a black-suited announcer read
the death announcement slowly and solemnly on Soviet television. He
said:
    ''The Central: 12th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1046EDT
 - - - - - -

a084  0837  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 5th Ld, CORRECTION, a068,60
MOSCOW Sub 7th graf: Andropov's brief xxx 269 lives to CORRECT date
of airliner to 1983 (not l982)
    Andropov's brief tenure was marked by a deterioration of relations
with the United States and the rupture of talks between the
superpowers on limiting both strategic and medium range nuclear
weapons. Relations were subject to additional strain on Sept. 1, l983
when the Soviet Union shot down a South Korean jetliner with the loss
of 269 lives.
    Andropov, former: 8th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1136EDT
 - - - - - -

a210  1042  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 5th Ld, Insert a068,60
MOSCOW Insert after 15th graf: There was xxx plans
    In Santa Barbara, Calif., where he is vacationing at his mountaintop
ranch, President Reagan was awakened at 3:20 a.m. PST with news of
Andropov's death.
    Secretary of State George P. Shultz later told a news conference in
Washington that Reagan is eager for a ''constructive and realistic
dialogue with the Kremlin's new leaders.''
    On Friday: 16th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1341EDT
 - - - - - -

a212  1055  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 5th Ld, Correction, a068,30
MOSCOW Sub 27th graf: Secretary of xxx leaders to CORRECT placement
of quote marks
    Secretary of State George P. Shultz later told a news conference in
Washington that Reagan is eager for a ''constructive and realistic
dialogue'' with the Kremlin's new leaders.
    On Friday: 18th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1353EDT
 - - - - - -

a213  1109  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 5th Ld insert, a068,90
MOSCOW Insert after 3rd graf
    The official Tass news agency later announced Andropov would be
buried in Red Square next Tuesday. It said the funeral commission
would be headed by party ideologist Konstantin U. Chernenko, one of
the ruling Politburo's most senior members.
    It could not be learned whether this meant the 72-year-old Chernenko
had the inside track in the succession. If the Kremlin rulers decide
to turn over the reins of power to a younger generation, the names
most frequently mentioned are Grigory V. Romanov, 6l, and Mikhail S.
Gorbachev, 52.
    Andropov's death: 5th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1356EDT
 - - - - - -

a216  1130  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 5th Ld insert, a068,130
MOSCOW Insert after 5th graf Andropov had diabetes, underwent kidney
dialysis for a year
    Andropov's death was announced at 2:20 p.m. (6:20 a.m. EST) by the
Tass agency, on its English-language wire. Tass said he died Thursday.
    An official medical report released today said Andropov had
undergone kidney dialysis for a year before his death and that he had
suffered from nephritis, diabetes and fluctuating blood pressure. The
Russian-language report was carried by Tass.
    ''On the 9th of February 1984, at 16 hours 50 minutes (4:50 p.m.
Moscow time, 8:50 a.m. EST), because of heart and vascular
insufficiency and the cessation of breathing, death has come,'' said
the report, as translated by The Associated Press.
    The only previous official comment on Andropov's health came when he
missed the early November parade through Red Square. Officials said
then he was suffering from a cold.
    Andropov's brief: 8th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1429EDT
***************

a042  0354  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Advisory
URGENT
    
    Eds:
    
    Upcoming within 10 minutes is a 4th Ld - Writethru to PM-Andropov to
consolidate bulletin with previous. Biographical material will be
incorporated.
    
    Upcoming within 30 minutes will be a separate profile of Andropov.
    
    We also plan a chronology, listing important dates in his life.
    
    We will have a number of other sidebars and will advise you as soon
as prospects for movement become clearer.
    
    The AP
        
ap-ny-02-10 0637EDT
***************

a044  0419  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Profile,2 Takes, 670-1,060
URGENT
Andropov Started Strong But Left No Real Mark On Soviet Union
By ANDREW ROSENTHAL
Associated Press Writer
    MOSCOW (AP) - Yuri Vladimirovich Andropov took power after 15 years
running the KGB and promised a revived economy and a cleaned-up
bureaucracy. He started strong and made some tentative changes, but
may not have ruled long enough to leave any real mark on the vast
Soviet Union.
    Accustomed to the obsessive secrecy of the KGB, Andropov was even
more mysterious than his predecessors in the seat of Soviet power.
There even are conflicting reports about whether Andropov's wife,
Tatyana, is alive.
    But the 15 months he was head of the Communist Party saw U.S.-Soviet
relations steadily decline through a series of crises, including the
Soviet downing of a Korean jetliner last September with the loss of
269 lives.
    The Communist Party was reshuffled, with dozens of top officials
replaced. Many of the new officials were of the younger, more
professional breed that Andropov said the Soviet Union needed.
    World attention focused personally on the 69-year-old leader
throughout his tenure, first for his new style and seeming
tirelessness and then because of the constant fears about his health.
    Andropov took office Nov. 11, 1982, following the death of President
Leonid I. Brezhnev. He became the oldest man ever to become general
secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union.
    Andropov immediately made it clear he was not going to take a back
seat. But he was plagued from the outset by health problems, the
impossibility of making rapid changes in the cumbersome Soviet system,
and reported resistance from Brezhnev's old guard in the Politburo.
    In mid-1983, after keeping a fairly high public profile, Andropov
dropped out of view. Reportedly bedridden with kidney problems that
some sources said stemmed from diabetes, Andropov missed one important
public event after another.
    Kremlin spokesmen and other sources said, however, that he remained
in charge of government affairs. Some sources said Andropov was
running the Politburo from his country home, or ''dacha,'' outside
Moscow.
    During that period, major public statements were issued in
Andropov's name - including a Sept. 28, 1983, attack on U.S. foreign
policy, and another in November explaining the Soviet walkout from the
Geneva arms reduction talks.
    Despite his illness, Andropov's leadership also carried out the most
significant reshuffling and rejuvenation of the party apparatus in
two decades. He also initiated some tentative economic experiments
that began in last month.
    Andropov was born June 15, 1914, in the Stavropol village of
Nagutskaya Station, to the family of a railroad worker, according to
his official biography.
    He drew the attention of the Soviet leadership for the first time in
the early 1950s - the politically tumultuous days after Josef Stalin
died.
    Aided by gaps in bureaucracy left by Stalin's purges, Andropov rose
and was sent to Budapest as a diplomat. In 1954, he became ambassador
to Hungary and played a key role in the Soviet suppression of the
1956 Hungarian revolt.
    Andropov was brought back to Moscow a year later and rewarded with
the job of department head of the party apparatus dealing with parties
in Eastern Europe.
    Some analysts say the party credited Andropov with a consolidation
of Soviet influence among the Eastern European satellites and he began
moving upward in the top echelons of the party.
    In 1961, he became a full Central Committee member without going
through the usual candidate membership.
    Six years later Stalin's daughter, Svetlana, defected and secret
police Chief Vladimir Semichastny was demoted.
    Many analysts believe the party began casting about for a new KGB
chief who could maintain party control over the secret police and spy
system. Andropov fit the bill as a senior party operative who already
had proved his administrative ability and his loyalty.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0718EDT
 - - - - - -

a045  0428  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Profile, 1st Add, a044,400
MOSCOW: his loyalty.
    Andropov beefed up KGB intelligence abroad while helping Brezhnev
maintain an iron grip on dissent at home and in Eastern Europe. Under
Andropov, the KGB expanded to an estimated 500,000 members, including
the frontier guards who patrol perhaps the tightest borders in the
world.
    Andropov was believed to have become a Brezhnev protege soon after
the 1964 ouster of Nikita S. Khrushchev. It was Brezhnev who was said
to have made Andropov KGB head and then gave him full Politburo
membership in 1973.
    Few Kremlin watchers ever expected a KGB boss to become general
secretary. But as Brezhnev grew older and sicker, Andropov began
making the moves that brought him to power.
    In May 1982, he left the KGB and took a post on the Central
Committee secretariat - a move that put him into the line of
succession.
    He took the unprecedented step of missing the two celebrations of
Revolution Day on Nov. 5 and Nov. 7. Andropov then stayed away from
the Communist Party Central Committee Plenum in late December 1983,
and the subsequent meeting of the Supreme Soviet, or nominal
parliament.
    The events were considered a protocol must for the Soviet leader,
and Andropov's absence renewed the persistent concern about the state
of his health.
    At first, the Kremlin said he had ''a cold.'' In January, Pravda
editor Viktor Afanasyev confirmed rumors that Andropov had kidney
problems. Still, the Soviets predicted Andropov would return to public
view and his influence was felt in the ruling circles.
    By the end of January, the Kremlin under Andropov had completed a
party reshuffle that saw dozens of top officials replaced. Ousted were
32 regional party bosses, seven of the 23 central committee chiefs
and 22 members of the Supreme Soviet council of ministers. It was the
biggest such move since Brezhnev took over the party in 1964.
    The changes reflected a new style, and also allowed the older men to
retire quietly and with their privileges intact - even in some cases
where they had failed in their responsibilities.
    Andropov also gave more prominence to three Politburo members who
clearly were his supporters: Mikhail Gorbachev, said by some to have
been Andropov's liaison to the Politburo during the bed-ridden days,
and Vitaly Vorotnikov and Geidar Aliev.
    Under Andropov, the Politburo also purged the important Interior
Ministry, moving in men who had worked for him in the KGB.
    But analysts were unsure if Andropov had succeeded in establishing a
new power base in the party and were waiting for the next series of
moves that never came.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0726EDT
 - - - - - -

a056  0532  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Profile, Sub, a044,70
MOSCOW SUB 12th graf: Andropov was born xxx biography with two grafs
to include experience in World War II and previously.
    Andropov was born June 15, 1914, in the Stavropol village of
Nagutskaya Station, to the family of a railroad worker, according to
his official biography. At age 16 he became a telegraph operator, then
worked as a movie projectionist and a Volga boatman.
    He attended Petrozabodsk University but did not graduate, and before
World War II joined the Communist Party. During and after the war he
held party posts in the northern Soviet Union, near the border with
Finland.
    He drew: 13th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 0829EDT
***************

a048  0444  10 Feb 84
PM-Reagan-Andropov,210
Reagan Awakened In Night With Andropov News
    SANTA BARBARA, Calif. (AP) - President Reagan was awakened at his
mountaintop ranch here early this morning and told of the death of
Soviet President Yuri V. Andropov, White House spokesman Larry Speakes
said.
    Speakes said Reagan was awakened at 6:20 a.m. EST, the same time
Andropov's death was announced in Moscow on the English language wire
of the official Soviet news service Tass.
    The spokesman said Michael Deaver, the deputy chief of staff, called
Reagan to inform the president of the death.
    ''We have no formal reaction, but we do anticipate a formal
statement by the United States government later today,'' Speakes said.
    The White House monitored unconfirmed reports throughout the night
that Andropov might have died, and relayed that information to
California, Speakes said.
    Early today, Adm. John Poindexter, the deputy national security
adviser who accompanied Reagan to the West Coast, was notified by the
White House situation room that ''there could be some validity to
these report,'' Speakes said.
    That information had come from the American Embassy in Moscow and
other sources, he said.
    ''When it was virtually certain these reports were true, the
president was informed at 3:20 a.m. PST (6:20 a.m. EST) by Michael
Deaver,'' Speakes said.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0742EDT
 - - - - - -

a053  0515  10 Feb 84
PM-Reagan-Andropov, Insert, a048,40
SANTA BARBARA, Calif. Insert 1 graf new material after 4th graf
    At the president's request, Vice President George Bush will stay in
Washington today, cancelling a trip to Europe for a weekend speaking
engagement in Munich, Speakes said. Earlier this week, Bush postponed
his departure to stay to monitor developments in Lebanon.
    The White House: 5th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 0813EDT
 - - - - - -

a215  1126  10 Feb 84
PM-Reagan-Andropov, 1st Ld, a048,410
URGENT
By MAUREEN SANTINI
Associated Press Writer
    SANTA BARBARA, CALIF. (A) - President Reagan expressed his
condolences today on the death of Soviet Leader Yuri Andropov, as a
White House official held out the possibility that the president may
attend the funeral.
    The official, who spoke on the condition that he remain anonymous,
said Reagan could go to the funeral if the Soviets have chosen a new
leader by that time.
    ''It's truly an open question and there will be a judgment made on
the basis of what steps are taken in the Soviet Union,'' the official
said.
    Asked if it would depend on whether a new leader was chosen or on
whom that person was, the official replied, ''I would guess both.''
    This official added, ''Right now, we can't make a judgment . . .
because at the moment there is no chief of state there.''
    He acknowledged that a senior White House official had told wire
service reporters earlier that it was unlikely Reagan would travel to
Moscow. The Santa Barbara official said that was the White House
thinking at the time the statement was made, but that the situation
had changed.
    Meanwhile, from his ranch in the Santa Ynez Mountains, Reagan sent a
message of condolence to the acting Soviet chief of state, Vasiliy
Kuznetsov.
    Deputy White House Larry Speakes described the message as personal
and said Reagan expressed his ''condolences and sympathies.''
    Reagan also expressed the ''deep and heartfelt desire of the
American people for world peace,'' and said he hoped for ''genuine
cooperation with the Soviet Union to make the world better and join in
peaceful purpose for all mankind.''
    Although the text of Reagan's message was not expected to be made
public until perhaps Saturday, Speakes issued a written statement
saying Reagan used the message to reiterate his point that the United
States seeks ''a constructive and realistic dialogue with the Soviet
Union aimed at building a more productive and stable relationship.''
    Speakes said there were fundamental differences between the U.S. and
Soviet system, ''but the American and Soviet peoples have a common
interest in the avoidance of war and the reduction of arms.''
    Reagan was awakened at his mountaintop ranch here early this morning
and told of Andropov's death.
    Speakes said Reagan was awakened at 6:20 a.m. EST, the same time
Andropov's death was announced in Moscow on the English language wire
of the official Soviet news service Tass.
    The spokesman said Michael Deaver, the deputy chief of staff, called
Reagan to inform the president of the death.
    At the: 5th graf pvs
    
ap-ny-02-10 1425EDT
***************

a049  0452  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-US-Military,380
Defense Experts: Little Change In Soviet Military Posture
By FRED S. HOFFMAN
AP Military Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - The death of Soviet President Yuri V. Andropov
won't produce significant changes in Soviet defense policies, but
might produce an opening in stalled arms negotiations, U.S. defense
specialists said today.
    ''I wouldn't expect the Kremlin's military policy to change at
all,'' said Assistant Defense Secretary Richard Perle, who is in
charge of international security policy for the Pentagon.
    Perle noted that there has been ''great continuity'' in the Soviet
defense policy, demonstrated most recently after Andropov took power
following the death of Leonid Brezhnev in November 1982.
    ''The Soviet general staff is pretty much in charge of military
policy and that will continue,'' Perle said.
    Perle did see some possibility, however, of a crack in the frozen
U.S.-Soviet negotiations on nuclear arms control and other issues with
the rise of a new political leader in Moscow.
    Perle attributed ''the paralysis on the Soviet side in
negotiations'' in part to Andropov's prolonged illness which, in the
view of a number of American experts, inhibited possible Soviet
flexibility in such talks.
    Specialists on the Soviet military have said for some time that
while the generals and admirals have exerted strong influence on
Soviet policy under Brezhnev, it has appeared the military has become
even more influential under Andropov.
    According to specialists who have charted the Soviet Union's
military growth, there has been a momentum toward a greater and
greater Soviet power in the strategic and conventional fields for
about 20 years.
    Military buildup programs, involving extensive research followed by
production, cannot be turned on and off quickly in any event, these
analysts said.
    But Pentagon specialists said they have been looking ahead to the
probability of Andropov's death or replacement because of ill health
and they have been convinced that the march toward greater military
strength will keep moving.
    As far as Soviet involvement in Central America, the Middle East and
other points of U.S.-Soviet friction, the specialists say there is
likely to be little if any change in Soviet objectives and methods of
carrying them out.
    They acknowledge that, given a transition period, the Soviets may
mark time to some extent but they expect no precipitous change such as
a Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0750EDT
***************

a050  0453  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, Advisory
    
    Eds:
    
    Upcoming within 20 minutes is an update to PM-Andropov to add more
biographical material.
    
    The AP
    
ap-ny-02-10 0751EDT
***************

a051  0502  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Chronology,390
Important Dates in the Life and Career of Yuri V. Andropov
By The Associated Press
    Here are some important dates in the life of Soviet leader Yuri V.
Andropov.
    June 15, 1914 - Born to Russian parents in Nagutskaya in the
northern Caucasus. His father was a railroad employee.
    1930 - At age 16, started working as a telegraph operator, then
became a movie projectionist and a Volga boatman.
    1936 - Studied water transportation at Rybinsk. Then attended
Petrozavodsk University, but did not graduate. He had already become a
member of the Communist Party and had embarked on a career as a party
official.
    1940-1951 - Held posts in the party apparatus in what is now the
Karelo-Finnish Republic during and after World War II.
    Early 1950s - Brought to Moscow and then assigned to Hungary as a
junior diplomat.
    1954 - Appointed ambassador to Hungary.
    1956 - As ambassador, dealt with the situation in Hungary during the
1956 uprising and the ensuing Soviet invasion to crush the rebellion.
    1957 - Returned from Hungary to serve as chief of the Central
Committee's department of liaison with the Socialist bloc, and was
assigned to the Committee of State Security, the KGB.
    1961 - Became a full member of the Central Committee of the
Communist Party.
    1967-1973 - Became a non-voting candidate member of the Politburo,
the top governing body of the Soviet Union.
    1973 - Named to head the KGB and made a full member of Politburo.
    1976 - Named a Soviet army general.
    May 1982 - Promoted to 10-member Central Committee Secretariat. Two
days later resigned post as head of the KGB.
    Nov. 10, 1982 - Leonid I. Brezhnev died.
    Nov. 12, 1982 - Andropov replaced Brezhnev as secretary-general of
the Communist Party. Announced he would continue Brezhnev's domestic
and foreign policies.
    Nov. 15, 1982 - Met with Vice President George Bush after Brezhnev's
funeral and pledged that the Soviet Union was ready for better
relations with the United States.
    June 16, 1983 - Became head of state when elected chairman, or
president, of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet.
    Aug. 18, 1983 - Andropov, 69 and ailing, met with a group of U.S.
senators visiting Moscow. Last time he was photographed in public.
    Nov. 5, 1983 - Missed Kremlin celebration of the 1917 Revolution.
    Nov. 7, 1983 - Missed Revolutionary Day Parade in Red Square.
    Dec. 26-27, 1983 - Missed meeting of Communist Party Central
Committee Plenum and National Parliament.
    Dec. 28-29, 1983 - Missed meeting of the Supreme Soviet.
    Jan. 6, 1984 - Missed meeting of the parliament of the Russian
Federation holding its winter meeting.
    Jan. 24, 1984 - In an official statement, rejects President Reagan's
proposal to return to arms negotiations and says the United States
must show its commitment to peace through ''practical deeds.''
    Feb. 9, 1984 - Andropov dies at age of 69 after ailing and being out
of public view for almost half of his 15 months in leadership.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0801EDT
 - - - - - -

a083  0835  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Chronology, CORRECTION, a051,390
UNDATED Sub grafs 11 and 12: 1967-1973 xxx Soviet Union to CORRECT
that he was named to head KGB in 1967.
    1967 - Named to head the KGB and became a non-voting candidate
member of the Politburo, the top governing body of the Soviet Union.
    1973 - Made a full member of Politburo.
    1976 - Named: 13th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1133EDT
***************

a052  0513  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov, 4th Ld, 1st add,650
URGENT
MOSCOW: had died
    Brezhnev died on Nov. 9, 1982, and was buried in the hallowed ground
of Red Square five days later. Meanwhile, Andropov was named to the
post of general secretary of the 18 million-member Soviet Communist
Party.
    He became president of the Soviet Union in June 1983, making him the
nominal head of state.
    The former KGB chief - at 68 the oldest man to take over as party
leader - came into office with promises to improve the Soviet economy,
clean out corrupt bureaucrats and usher in a new generation of
leadership.
    But Andropov's tenure ended before he was able to get his changes
past their initial phases.
    In Andropov's first months, he met with a string of foreign heads of
state, took a leading role in the debate over deployment of
medium-range nuclear rockets in Europe, and took halting steps toward
introducing changes in the lagging Soviet economy.
    But U.S.-Soviet relations went into one of the worst freezes since
World War II and Andropov's increasingly bad health forced him out of
public international diplomacy.
    Through a series of public statements, Andropov personally led the
Soviet offensive against deployment of 572 U.S.-built missiles in
NATO-member nations. The Soviets broke off U.S.-Soviet talks on
controlling medium-range missiles in November 1983, Andropov contended
the move was forced by deployment of the missiles.
    But he stayed out of the debate over tte S 
FING OF A South
Korean jumbo jet on Sept. 1, 1983,wyii↑ kille1eop1zremlin under Andropov contin-
ued to oppose U.S. involvement in
Central America, the Middle East and Asia, and hotly opposed the U.S.
invasion of Grenada in October 1983.
    Meanwhile, the Soviet war against Afghan rebels continued with no
apparent progress toward either a military or political solution.
    At home, the Politburo in January began implementing tentative
economic experiments, but the Soviet leadership had already made it
clear that there would be no sweeping changes.
    Andropov also oversaw changes in dozens of important officials in
the Soviet government and the Communist Party, including 32 heads of
the crucial regional party committees - the largest such change in two
decades.
    Andropov was born June 15, 1914, in the Stavropol village of
Nagutskaya Station, to the family of a railroad worker. He began
rising in the party ranks during the first tumultuous years after
Josef Stalin died in 1953.
    Moving into the diplomatic service, Andropov was ambassador to
Hungary during the Soviet suppression of the 1956 uprising in that
nation.
    He was believed to have become a protege of Brezhnev soon after the
ouster of Nikita S. Khrushchev as party boss in 1964 and Andropov
became head of the KGB in 1967.
    Andropov became a full member of the Politburo in 1973, and as
Brezhnev became older and ailing, began maneuvering to become the
first KGB chief in Soviet history to assume control of the party.
    In May 1982, he left the KGB and took a post on the Central
Committee Secretariat - a move that brought him into the traditional
line of succession for the top party post.
    He is then said to have bested Politburo rival Konstantin U.
Chernenko in a struggle for the right to succeed Brezhnev.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0811EDT
***************

n001  0547  10 Feb 84
BC-NYT-ADVISORY Opening sked
    The New York Times News Service schedule for Friday, Feb. 10, 1984.
For use by subscribers only. Unauthorized use is strictly prohibited.
    
    Allen Hoffman is in the slot. If you have any questions about the
news report, please call him at (212) 556-1927.
    
COLUMNS
    Russell BAKER Observer and Sports of the Times - both to come.
Priority.
    
WASHINGTON
    BRIEFING (WashPage)-Coalition forming to tackle the deficit; other
Washington notes. By James F. Clarity and Warren Weaver Jr. 750.
    TOMBSTONE (WashPage)-Abraham Lincoln 2d has finally been rescued
from anonymity. By Marjorie Hunter. 400.
    NAVY-A Navy admiral's remark this week that an Army infantry
antiaircraft weapon had been deployed on American vessels off Lebanon
has raised questions in Congress about how well the Navy can defend
itself against suicide attacks. By Wayne Biddle. 650.
    PRESS-The Joint Chiefs of Staff have adopted new procedures to plan
for press coverage during military operations. By Jonathan Friendly.
650.
    
ANDROPOV
    Moscow-ANDROPOV-OBIT-Tass announces the death of long-ailing Soviet
leader Yuri Andropov, 69. 1,800. Priority.
    (The entire Andropov package - reaction, analysis, etc. - will be
skedded later)
    
OTHER INTERNATIONAL NEWS
    Jerusalem-LEBANON-ISRAEL-Israel says it has received repeated,
indirect requests from the government of Lebanese President Amin
Gemayel to attack Syrian, Shiite and Palestinian forces in Lebanon.
By David K. Shipler. 900.
    Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England-BRITAIN-Prime Minister Margaret
Thatcher has been trying ever since she took office in 1979 to limit
the spending of not only the central government but also that of the
regional and district authorities around the country. Now she is
acting to put a ceiling on property taxes as the latest step in that
campaign. By R.W. Apple. 750.
    Schopfloch, West Germany-BAVARIA- Lachoudisch, a local variety of
German containing many Yiddish and Hebrew words, is about as old as
the first Jewish settlement in Schopfloch in the early 18th century.
But the last Jews were deported from Schopfloch in 1939, and since
then Lachoudisch has been dying out. By James M. Markham. 900.
    
GENERAL
    New York-BROADWAY (Weekend)-Linda Ronstadt and Wilford Leach, who
worked together on ''The Pirates of Penzance'' three years ago, are
now planning to bring an English ''La Boheme'' to Broadway; other
news of the theater. By Carol Lawson. 900.
    Milwaukee-UNION-In Milwaukee, a local union has taken up the problem
of job losses because of company moves. By E.R. Shipp. 850.
    Palo Alto, Calif.-STANFORD-A long, low building rising on the
Stanford University campus is a symbol of the tightening of links
between academic and industrial research to bolster American
technological prowess. But it has also become a focus of debate over
the proper relationship between the two. By Robert Reinhold. 900.
    
    
FINANCIAL
    New York-SILK-COLUMN-The Economic Scene: Who is killing the stock
market? Leonard Silk explores the question. 900.
    New York-GOURMET-The continuing success of low-calorie and so-called
gourmet frozen foods has revived a market whose palate was dulled by
traditional TV dinners. And this year promises an even broader range
of entries as the nation's leading frozen food marketers fight for a
bigger chunk of what is now the industry's fastest-growing and most
profitable sector. 900.
    
nyt-02-10-84 0833est
***************

a061  0554  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Olympics,250
Olympic Committee Deciding What Action To Take
Eds: Also moved sports circuits
    SARAJEVO, Yugoslavia (AP) - The International Olympic Committee met
today to discuss possible action at the Winter Games following the
announcement that Soviet leader Yuri V. Andropov had died, an Olympic
spokesman said.
    ''We cannot decide alone,'' said Ivica Misic, director of the
Olympic press center. ''The Olympic Games are governed by the
International Olympic Committee.
    ''Of course, interests of Yugoslavia and the organizers will also
have to be taken into account.''
    According to Yugoslav law, one day of mourning is called for in the
event of the death of a prominent foreign leader. That was the case
when Soviet President Leonid Brezhnev died in November 1982.
    But informed sources said that the Winter Games would probably go on
in view of the tight schedule and heavy snow, which already has
forced the postponement of several events.
    Soviet sources in Sarajevo said the Soviet Olympic team would be
instructed from Moscow on what action it would take. Soviet sports
committee chairman Marat Gramov was in Sarajevo for the Games.
    The only time an Olympic Games has been formally interrupted was in
Munich in 1972, after 17 people including 11 Israeli athletes and
coaches were killed in a terrorist attack on the athletes' village.
Competition was suspended for a day of mourning.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0853EDT
 - - - - - -

a064  0614  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Olympics, 1st Ld - Writethru, a061,220
Eds: Updates throughout with officials saying games would not be
interrupted.
By GEOFF MILLER
AP Sports Writer
    SARAJEVO, Yugoslavia (AP) - The Winter Olympic Games will not be
interrupted by the announcement of the death of Soviet leader Yuri V.
Andropov, the president of the International Olympic Committee said
today.
    ''I have written a letter of condolence to (Marat) Gramov, the
Soviet sports minister,'' IOC President Juan Antonio Samaranch said.
''But we have not even considered halting the Games.''
    Samaranch made the announcement after the IOC met upon learning of
the official announcement from Moscow that Andropov was dead. The only
time an Olympic Games have been formally interrupted as a gesture of
mourning was in Munich in 1972, after 17 people including 11 Israeli
athletes and coaches were killed in a terrorist attack on the
athletes' village. Competition was suspended for one day.
    According to Yugoslav law, one day of mourning is called for in the
event of the death of a prominent foreign leader. That was the case
when Soviet President Leonid Brezhnev died in November 1982.
    Soviet sources in Sarajevo said the Soviet Olympic team would be
instructed from Moscow on what action it would take.
    Athletes informed of Andropov's death did not want to talk to
reporters. ''We don't know anything,'' one said, adding ''We haven't
heard a word about it.''
    But one coach brushing by a reporter said, ''I simply can't believe
it.''
    
ap-ny-02-10 0913EDT
***************

a062  0605  10 Feb 84
PM-US-Soviet-Relations,510
US-Soviet Relations Worsened During Andropov Regime
By R. GREGORY NOKES
Associated Press Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - The 15 months of Yuri Andropov's leadership in the
Soviet Union saw a deterioration in rela8ons with the United States,
a process made worse because Andropov's long illness created a
vaccuum in the Soviet command, officials said today.
    Virtually all arms control negotiations were broken off and tensions
increased in the wake of the installation of new American missiles in
Europe and the Soviet downing of a South Korean airliner last
September.
    W. Averell Harriman, former ambassador to Moscow and an adviser to
five presidents, wrote last month that relations had deteriorated to
the point where ''we could face not the risk but the reality of
nuclear war.''
    Andropov, who died Thursday at age 69, was seriously ill for much of
his time as Communist Party chief, and the assessment of officials
here was that he lacked the energy to have more than a tenuous grip on
the reins of leadership.
    Administration officials knew very little about Andropov, other than
what Moscow provided, because few in the West had any contact with
him. The former KGB chief seldom traveled outside the Soviet Union,
and he, in turn, knew little about the West.
    He met with high-ranking Reagan administration leaders only once.
That was during the funeral of his predecessor, Leonid Brezhnev in
November 1982, when he conferred with Vice President George Bush and
Secretary of State George P. Shultz.
    There was no immediate official U.S. reaction to Andropov's death,
which came as no surprise. It is thought likely that Bush or Shultz,
or both, will represent the United States at Andropov's funeral.
    President Reagan did not attend Brezhnev's funeral, although he had
been urged to go by Shultz.
    Andropov, in his last public appearance last August, met with a
group of Democratic senators.
    Henry Kissinger, former secretary of state, said today after
Andropov's death was announced that a ''core group '' of four to five
Politburo members made the day-to-day decisions while Andropov was
incapacitated.
    But such a system did not produce the kind of leadership needed to
make key decisions on arms control and other issues, he said.
    Kissinger said rigidity developed in Moscow's policies ''partly due
to the fact there was no one there to change a basic policy
decision.'' Kissinger commented on an interview on ABC-TV's ''Good
Morning America'' program.
    A veteran government Soviet analyst said U.S-Soviet relations had
been ''on a downward spiral until January,'' when Reagan made a speech
widely regarded as conciliatory toward Moscow.
    The analyst, who insisted on anonymity, said a major contribution to
that deterioration was the downing by Moscow last September of a
South Korean airliner in which 269 people were killed. The Soviet
Union balked at accepting responsibility for the incident, and did not
offer a sincere apology.
    Officials have said the handling of the airliner incident was one
example of the failure of Moscow's leadership because of Andropov's
illness.
    Had the Soviet leader been in firm command, the officials believe
the Soviets would have responded more effectively to what was an
obvious military blunder in shooting down the jetliner.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0903EDT
***************

n004  0608  10 Feb 84
BC-ADVISORY
(FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE)
FROM W.W. NORTON AND CO.
Copyright 1983 Zhores A. Medvedev
U.S. and Canadian rights. In five parts of 1,700 words each.
ANDROPOV
By ZHORES MEDVEDEV
    At 4:50 p.m. (Soviet time), on Feb. 9, the Russian news agency Tass
announced the death of Soviet Premier Yuri Andropov. In the preface
to his recent book, ''Andropov,'' Soviet dissident author Zhores
Medvedev comments that ''changes in the leadership of the Soviet
Union are so rare that they are treated like revolutions.''
    In five excerpts from ''Andropov,'' Medvedev tells how Andropov
maneuvered his way from position No. 6 as head of the KGB, to
position No. 2 as ''chief ideologue,'' when a stroke left Premier
Leonid Brezhnev incapacitated in 1982. The author tells of the
bizarre events surrounding Brezhnev's state funeral, and↑explains why
the West's initial perception of Andropov as ''liberal'' had no basis
in reality.
    As the head of the KGB, a position he held for a record 15 years,
Andropov effectively eliminated Russia's dissident movement, and
raised the sophistication and influence of that agency to new
heights, the author reports. He tells of the domestic anti-corruption
campaign Andropov had begun, while at the same time showing a marked
lack of leniency regarding amnesty for political prisoners. The
author poses some tough questions and provides insightful answers and
comments on Soviet foreign policy under Andropov. He concludes that
Andropov's policy ''was still the same conservative policy without
any sign of liberal or democratic trends.''
    Publishers Weekly called ''Andropov'' a ''riveting account of the
inside power struggles that have shaped the course of Soviet domestic
and foreign policies.''
    Zhores Medvedev is a Soviet scientist famous for exposing the
nuclear disaster that occurred in the Urals in the 1950s. He was one
of the earliest victims of official attempts to stifle opposition by
detaining dissidents in mental institutions. In 1973 he was exiled
from the Soviet Union and now lives in London. He is the author of,
among other books, ''The Medvedev Papers'' and ''The Nuclear Disaster
in the Urals.'' (slugged: BC-BK-ANDROPOV, priority code r, category
code c)
To purchase the above material call The New York Times Syndication
Sales Corp. (212) 972-1070, Dan Barber or Susan Carroll.
This material will be transmitted to you on Fri. Feb. 10, on the tav
selector code.
    
nyt-02-10-84 0853est
***************

a063  0610  10 Feb 84
PM-Dollar-Gold,250
Dollar Advances, Gold Bullion Eases In Europe
    LONDON (AP) - The dollar advanced and gold bullion eased in Europe
early today on speculation about the health of Soviet leader Yuri V.
Andropov, whose death was announced later.
    West German currency dealers said the dollar got a boost just before
the European opening after Soviet television and radio stations
revised programming without explanation - a prelude to the later
announcement of the Soviet president's death.
    Heightened political uncertainty and world conflict increases the
dollar's value as an investors' haven.
    In London, the British pound fell in early trading to $1.4135, from
$1.4230 Thursday.
    Other midmorning dollar rates compared with late Thursday included:
    -2.7490 West German marks, up from 2.7295
    -2.2332 Swiss francs, up from 2.21575
    -8.4585 French francs, up from 8.4100
    -3.0995 Dutch guilders, up from 3.0810
    -1,691.75 Italian lire, up from 1,683.15
    -1.2468 Canadian dollars, up from 1.2446
    Earlier in Tokyo, the dollar rose to 234.35 Japanese yen, from
233.70 yen, its rate Thursday and last Friday.
    London's five main bullion dealers fixed a recommended gold price at
midmorning of $380.90 a Troy ounce, down from $383 late Thursday. In
Zurich, gold was bid at $381.20 down from $383.50.
    Earlier in Hong Kong, gold lost $4.32 to close at a bid of $381.34.
    Silver was quoted in London at $8.88 an ounce, down from $8.98 late
Thursday.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0908EDT
 - - - - - -

a067  0635  10 Feb 84
PM-US-Soviet-Relations, 1st add, a063,520
WASHINGTON: jetliner
    A senior State Department official said recently that Andropov's
illness probably resulted in intransigence in the arms control talks,
which were being held against the backdrop of the planned deployment
of new U.S. missiles in Europe.
    Officials said they thought that with a stronger leadership, the
Soviets and the United States might have been able to negotiate a
compromise arms control agreement.
    But without anyone making compromise decisions on the Soviet side,
Moscow took an all-or-nothing approach to arms control.
    That attitude, coupled with the Reagan administration's
determination to install at least some cruise and Pershing 2 missiles
in Western Europe, resulted in a breakdown in negotiations after the
first NATO missiles were installed late last year.
    Separate talks on strategic weapons also were broken off at the same
time.
    Paul Warnke, a former American arms negotiator appearing on ABC-TV,
said today that ''a failure of communication at the highest levels''
on both sides led to the breakdown in arms talks.
    Prior to the downing of the South Korean airliner last September,
some U.S. officials had hoped they could arrive at the broad outline
of an arms control agreement that could be endorsed at a 1984 summit
meeting between Reagan and Andropov. The airliner incident ended
serious talk of a summit.
    Reagan's advisers, alarmed over the deterioration of relations,
decided in January that Reagan should issue a speech holding out to
Moscow the prospect of productive arms talks with Moscow.
    Moscow's response, issued in Andropov's name, was lukewarm and
evasive. At about the same time, Shultz met in Stockholm with Soviet
Foreign Minister Andrei Gromyko, but it was understood that Gromyko
repeated standard Soviet positions and said nothing that would lead to
hope of improved relations.
    Helmut Sonnenfeldt, a former Kissinger and Nixon administration
adviser, took the view that superpower relations were not as bad as
they were widely presumed to be.
    Sonnenfeldt, currently at the Brookings Institution, said in a
recent interview that despite all the potential for superpower clashes
- in Poland, Afghanistan, over the South Korean airliner - there was
none, which he interpreted as a sign that both sides were keeping
their cool.
    
 
ap-ny-02-10 0925EDT
***************

a065  0618  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Text,160
With PM-Andropov
Text of Tass death announcement
    MOSCOW (AP) - Here is the text of the official announcement today of
the death of Soviet President Yuri V. Andropov, as carried by the
English language service of the official Soviet news agency Tass:
    The Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union,
the Presidium of the U.S.S.R. Supreme Soviet and the U.S.S.R. Council
of Ministers with deep sorrow inform the party and the entire Soviet
people that Yuri Vladimirovich Andropov, general secretary of the
C.P.S.U. Central Committee, President of the Presidium of the U.S.S.R.
Supreme Soviet, died after a long illness at 16 hours 50 minutes on
Feb. 9, 1984.
    The name of Yuri Vladimirovich Andropov, an outstanding leader of
the Communist Party and of the Soviet state, a staunch fighter for the
ideals of commmunism and for peace, will always remain in the hearts
of the Soviet people, of the whole progressive humanity.
    
ap-ny-02-10 0917EDT
***************

a066  0619  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov,Advisory,
EDITORS:
    We will move within 30 minutes an analysis of the prospects in
US-Soviet relations following the death of Yuri Andropov. It will be
slugged PM-US-Soviet Outlook and carry a Washington date.
    
    
ap-ny-02-10 0918EDT
***************

a070  0702  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Successors,800
New Kremlin Chief May Be Younger Man Or Interim Leader
By ANDREW ROSENTHAL
Associated Press Writer
    MOSCOW (AP) - The Kremlin will name Yuri V. Andropov's successor
from among the 12 members of the Politburo, and two men, Mikhail S.
Gorbachev and Grigory V. Romanov, are seen as strong contenders unless
a transition leadership emerges.
    There are many wild cards in the stakes, with older and powerful men
expected to have much to say about the decision. It may already have
been made - as Andropov lay on his deathbed, or during the 22 hours
between his death and the official Communist Party announcement
carried by the official Tass news agency.
    There are certain to be clues forthcoming about who will succeed
Andropov, but the choice won't be official until it is ratified by a
meeting of the Communist Party Central Committee. No meeting has yet
been announced.
    Gorbachev, 52, and Romanov, 61, are the youngest of the most
powerful full, or voting, members of the Politburo, and many Western
analysts and diplomats expect the Soviets to choose a younger man this
time as general secretary of the Communist Party.
    Andropov, who died on Thursday at the age of 69, was in ill health
from the beginning of his tenure and lived less than 15 months after
assuming the post.
    Gorbachev and Romanov also are among the three Politburo members who
are members of the Communist Party Secretariat, along with the
72-year-old Konstantin U. Chernenko.
    The last three party leaders - Andropov, Leonid I. Brezhnev and
Nikita S. Khrushchev - were party secretaries before they assumed
leadership.
    Some Westerners see Gorbachev as having a slight edge on Romanov, in
that he has been in Moscow longer. Romanov was party chief in
Leningrad until last year. The Leningrad post is an important one, but
also is considered outside the Moscow clique.
    Also, although both Romanov and Gorbachev have been involved in
foreign affairs, Gorbachev has been given a more prominent role in
internal party matters.
    He supervised the start of the 1983-84 party elections, presided
over the Leningrad Party meeting that picked Romanov's successor and
nominated Vitaly I. Vorotnikov to become premier of the Russian
Federation last year.
    Many Western diplomats say Defense Minister Dmitri F. Ustinov is the
most powerful man on the Politburo. He is said to have been
instrumental in Andropov's succession, and to have run the Politburo
day-to-day when Andropov's health was at its worst.
    But Ustinov is 75, and some reports say his health is not good.
Still, along with Foreign Minister Andrei A. Gromyko, 74, Ustinov is
one of the veteran Politburo members who will play a role in choosing
a successor.
    Chernenko, as party ideologist, is certain to have influence, but he
is aging and took a lesser role under Andropov.
    Mikhail S. Solomentsev, 70, the former Russian Federation premier
who now heads the powerful party discipline body, was elevated to full
membership on the politburo at the December 1983, party meeting.
    The appointment of such a man is considered likely only if the
Soviets decide on a caretaker leadership while a younger man is
groomed for the job.
    ''Ustinov, Chernenko and the other older men will have a role to
play in this, but it won't be as general secretary,'' predicted a
Western diplomat who closely follows Kremlin affairs. ''If there is
anything the party should have learned in the last two years it is not
to have an aging and ailing leader.''
    Politburo member Geidar Aliev, 60, has risen to new prominence under
Andropov after demonstrating his abilities as an administrator by
reviving the railroad industry. However, Aliev's Moslem heritage and
Azerbaijan nationality are seen as serious handicaps.
    Another young Politburo member who was considered a favorite of
Andropov is Vorotnikov, 57, who was elevated to full Politburo
membership last December. But analysts believe Vorotnikov is too new
on the Politburo to be picked for the top job, and he is not a member
of the Secretariat.
    The other full members of the Politburo are:
    -Viktor V. Grishin, 69, the Moscow city party chief and a full
member of the Politburo since 1971. He failed to improve his position
visibly under Andropov.
    -Dinmukhamed A. Kunaev, a Kazak by nationality and head of the
far-flung Kazakhstan party. The 71-year-old Kunaev is seen as being
too removed from Moscow politics to make a run for the party
leadership.
    -Vladimir V. Shcherbitsky, 65, the Ukrainian party boss who has
specialized in party politics and ideology. He was considered to have
been a Brezhnev man and has not taken a strong public role under
Andropov.
    -Nikolai A. Tikhonov, 78, is the premier of the Soviet Union and is
not seen as a contender to succeed Andropov.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1001EDT
 - - - - - -

a074  0730  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Successors, Insert, a070,160
MOSCOW Insert after 8th graf: Some Westerners xxx clique 4 grafs on
Toon comments on succession
    Malcolm Toon, former U.S. ambassador to Moscow, told ''CBS Morning
News'' that he expected no significant changes to result from
Andropov's death.
    ''I think we're going to be dealing with the same sort of person
we've seen in the leadership over the past four or five years, an old
man, a member of the older generation,'' Toon said. ''Probably
somebody moving in there on a transitional basis and not any basic
change in policies or behavior for a long time to come.''
    Former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger noted on ABC's ''Good
Morning America'' that most of the Politburo members are in the
75-year age group. ''If they pick another 75-year-old, then they have
by definition another interim arrangement. But if they pick a younger
one, the octogenarians know that they're not going to last long in
office, . . .'' he said.
    Although both Romanov and Gorbachev have been involved in foreign
affairs, Gorbachev has been given a more prominent role in internal
party matters.
    He supervised: 10th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1028EDT
 - - - - - -

a078  0749  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Successors, CORRECTION, a070,30
MOSCOW Sub 9th graf: Malcolm Toon xxx death to CORRECT to ABC, not
CBS
    Malcolm Toon, former U.S. ambassador to Moscow, told ABC ''Morning
News'' that he expected no significant changes to result from
Andropov's death.
    ''I think: 10th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1048EDT
***************

n010  0703  10 Feb 84
BC-GLASS-COLUMN Adv12
FOR RELEASE SUN. FEB. 12)
COMMENTARY: War on the Cheap
By ANDREW J. GLASS
c. 1984 Cox News Service
    WASHINGTON - Had the Marines gone into Lebanon the same manner as
the Israelis - tank motors roaring, sweeping through territory,
interrogating suspects - the debacle in Beirut might well have been
avoided.
     The Marines should have been ordered to take the high ground above
that sad city and to hold it against the Syrian-backed Moslem
militias. That would surely have cost losses up front. But it almost
surely would have prevented the Sunday massacre: Only under a bunker
strategy could so many men be caught sleeping in one place.
     Despite the pleas of his Lebanese clients, President Reagan refused
to fan the Marines out. When the Israelis suddenly withdrew - thereby
fulfilling a long-standing Washington goal - a power vacuum ensued
and the seeds of destruction for the inflexible Gemayel regime were
sown.
     In assessing the Beirut carnage, the Wall Street Journal's State
Department correspondent, David Ignatius, wrote that Reagan's
decision to withdraw the Marines was ''a stunning defeat for his
Lebanon policy and a haunting reminder of the Carter administration's
failure in Iran.'' Before returning to Washington, Ignatius had
served as the Journal's Middle East correspondent. When Reagan's
staff saw his article, it went bananas. ''It stinks,'' presidential
spokesman Larry Speakes said of the story. ''The mission remains. The
goals remain. We are looking for more effective ways to do it.'' What
Speakes didn't say was that the Democratic-led House was poised to
pass a resolution calling for the Marines' prompt withdrawal. The
president's men knew that the resolution had been reworked to reflect
a non-accusatory tone and that quite a few House Republicans were
going to go along with it.
     Not the way you would want to kick off a reelection campaign.
     So the president used the resumption of anarchy in Beirut - which
has pretty much been the state of affairs there for years - to pull
the Marines back to the ships. For the moment, the political heat on
him has cooled.
     John Sears ran the Reagan campaign for the GOP nomination in 1980 -
until he got bounced because he forget to pretend that Reagan was
more than a smooth front man mouthing lines written for him by his
handlers.
     So when the Washington Post called Sears to ask him what he thought
of the Lebanon business, Sears said: ''He'll just walk away from this
and not look back. The Democrats will try to get him on the
leadership issue and accuse him of getting himself into a bad
situation, but he won't respond or even acknowledge that it was his
fault.
     ''He walks away from more political car crashes than anyone.... By
November, no one will remember or care about how he came to put the
Marines there in the first place.'' Sears' judgment would surely be
accurate were the Reagan circle able to write off Lebanon as a bad
bargain and go on to other things. But, apparently, they cannot.
     Reagan blames the Syrians for the upsurge in fighting in Lebanon.
And in announcing that the Marines would be moved out, he also
authorized U.S. naval guns and warplanes to attack anybody firing on
Beirut from Syrian-controlled areas.
     It's war on the cheap. But it's the kind of move which the Syrians
and their Soviet friends must respond to. Before the death of Yuri
Andropov, the Soviet leader, the Kremlin had decided to send Geidar
Aliev, a ranking Politburo member, to go to Damascus to review the
situation. Now a top-level Syrian delegation will go to Moscow.
     The Syrians regard Lebanon as their turf. The Soviets note that
their southern border is as near to Beirut as Boston is to
Washington. It's not going to be easy to get either of them to back
off.
     Reagan is going through much the same sort of political gymnastics
that enthralled Washington during the Vietnam decade. We are a
superpower. If we send the Communists the wrong signal, it could
unravel our position throughout the world.
     It once took more than 50,000 American lives in Vietnam, and
hundreds of billions of dollars of public treasure, to get that kind
of thinking out of our system. One wonders what the cost in Lebanon
will be?
    
nyt-02-10-84 0948est
***************

n011  0703  10 Feb 84
BC-ADVISORY
    EDITORS:
    The Andropov obit will move shortly. It will run approximately 4,300
words.
    N.Y. Times News Service
    
nyt-02-10-84 0949est
***************

a076  0746  10 Feb 84
PM-US-Andropov,690
US Reaction Cautious To Andropov Death
By JOAN MOWER
Associated Press Writer
    U.S. officials, keeping in mind the chilly climate of superpower
relations, reacted cautiously today to the death of Soviet President
Yuri V. Andropov, which came as no surprise.
    Andropov, who took over in November 1982, had been ill for months,
and had not been seen in public since he met with a group of
Democratic senators last August in Moscow. He was 69.
    President Reagan, vacationing at his mountaintop California ranch,
was awakened in the middle of the night when officials confirmed
Andropov's death.
    White House spokesman Larry Speakes said Reagan took the call from
deputy Chief of Staff Michael Deaver at 6:20 a.m. EST.
    A formal U.S. response to the death was expected later in the day.
    Warning against rash reaction, W. Averell Harriman said, ''This is
time for caution and care in the conduct of our affairs with the
Soviet Union as the nation undergoes the transition to new
leadership.''
    Harriman, a Democrat, called Andropov ''a man who understood the
great dangers of confrontation and the catastrophic consequences of
nuclear war.''
    Sen. Dale Bumpers, D-Ark., one of the senators who saw Andropov last
year, said Andropov's death was a ''matter of time'' because the
Soviet leader appeared ''very ill'' during their meeting.
    ''I was disappointed by our visit because he was dour, he was
humorless, he was very droll in his attitude,'' Bumpers said today in
Little Rock, Ark.
    In Washington, officials said they did not think Andropov's death
would cause any major immediate shifts in Moscow's policies.
    Since Andropov came to power, U.S.-Soviet relations have
deteriorated, a fact underscored by the breakdown in two sets of arms
control talks.
    Relations between the nations took a sharp dive last September after
the Soviets shot down a South Korean passenger plane, killing 269
people.
    Last month, Reagan made a conciliatory speech, holding out the
prospect of fresh arms talks with Moscow. But the Soviets' response
was only lukewarm.
    ''I wouldn't expect the Kremlin's military record to change at
all,'' said Richard Perle, assistant defense secretary. ''The Soviet
general staff is pretty much in charge of military policy and that
will continue,'' said Perle.
    Defense analysts, noting that it is impossible to change course
quickly on military programs, said they believe the Soviets will keep
pushing their defense buildup.
    Despite wariness from administration officials, some foreign policy
experts said Andropov's death could leave an opening for improved
superpower relations.
    ''I would expect a calmer tone toward the United States and maybe
even the beginning of some negotiations,'' said former Secretary of
State Henry Kissinger, appearing on ABC-TV's ''Good Morning America''
program.
    And Zbigniew Brzezinski, foreign affairs adviser to former
Democratic president Jimmy Carter, said: ''I think it's time for some
initiatives from us - careful prudent probes by the United States.
. . .''
    Sen. John Glenn, D-Ohio, one of the Democratic presidential
hopefuls, suggested that it might be helpful to U.S.-Soviet relations
if Reagan attends Andropov's funeral.
    But, asked if he were recommending such a step, Glenn said, ''I
won't say it's a good idea.'' .
    The White House has not announced who will go to the funeral. Both
Vice President George Bush and Secretary of State George Shultz
attended the funeral of Andropov's predecessor, Leonid Brezhnev.
    The United States is keeping a close eye on who will succeed
Andropov, and the age of his successor. Andropov, a former head of the
KGB, had, like the other recent Soviet leaders, come of age during
Stalin's regime.
    Kissinger noted that most of the members of the ruling Politburo are
in the 75-year-old age range, but that three members are in the 60s
and one is in his 50s.
    ''If they pick another 75-year-old, then they have by definition
another interim arrangement,'' Kissinger said.
    Malcolm Toon, a former ambassador to Moscow, said the new Soviet
leader will likely be ''the same sort of person we've seen in the
leadership over the past four or five years, an old man, a member of
the older generation.''
    ''It's gonna be a good long while before we'll know what this means,
probably as long as a year, maybe even two years, as far as
American-Soviet relations,'' Bumpers said.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1045EDT
 - - - - - -

a088  0856  10 Feb 84
PM-US-Andropov, Insert, a076,120
UNDATED Insert 4 grafs new material after 5th graf; delete pvs grafs
19-21, Sen. John xxx Breshnev now redundant.
    A formal U.S. response to the death was expected later in the day.
    Calls built on Capitol Hill and on the presidential campaign trail
for Reagan to attend Andropov's funeral himself.
    Democratic presidential front-runner Walter Mondale said that,
''with the deterioration of U.S.-Soviet relations, I believe the
president should go to the funeral . . . to signal the Soviet Union
and the world that he will now pursue every opportunity for peace.''
    Sens. John Glenn of Ohio and Ernest Hollings of South Carolina, also
presidential aspirants, made similar calls, as did congressmen from
both parties.
    The White House has not announced who will go to the funeral. Both
Vice President George Bush and Secretary of State George Shultz
attended the funeral of Andropov's predecessor, Leonid Brezhnev.
    Warning against: 6th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1155EDT
 - - - - - -

a209  1040  10 Feb 84
PM-US-Andropov, 1st Ld, a076,280
Eds: Top 9 grafs new with Shultz comments
By JOAN MOWER
Associated Press Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Secretary of State George P. Shultz today extended
condolences to the Soviet Union on the death of Yuri Andropov, and
said President Reagan is eager for a ''constructive and realistic
dialogue'' with the Kremlin's new leaders.
    Shultz told reporters that a decision on whether Reagan attends
Andropov's funeral in Moscow depends on arrangements made by Kremlin
officials.
    Andropov, the Soviet president since November 1982, died Thursday at
the age of 69. He had been ill for months, and had not been seen in
public since he met with a group of Democratic senators last August in
Moscow.
    Shultz, in the first official U.S. reaction to news of the death
since it was announced today, emphasized the Reagan administration
wants ''a constructive and realistic dialogue with the Soviet Union.''
    ''The United States will work to build a more stable and more
positive relationship,'' he said, adding there were ''opportunities at
hand'' to make the ''world a safer place.''
    Shultz said: ''As the president has stressed, we seek to find
solutions to real problems, not just to improve the atmosphere of our
relations. This applies, in particular, to the task of reaching
equitable and verifiable agreements for arms reductions and reducing
the risk of war.''
    The secretary of state said he sees no son why suspended nuclear
arms talks cannot be resumed.
    Reagan, vacationing at his mountaintop California ranch, was
awakened in the middle of the night when officials confirmed
Andropov's death.
    White House spokesman Larry Speakes said Reagan took the call from
deputy Chief of Staff Michael Deaver at 6:20 a.m. EST.
    Calls built: 6th graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1339EDT
 - - - - - -

a217  1138  10 Feb 84
PM-US-Andropov, 2nd Ld, a209,360
URGENT
Eds: Tops with details on funeral
By JOAN MOWER
Associated Press Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Reagan administration officials appeared to give
conflicting signals today on whether President Reagan would attend
Soviet President Yuri Andropov's funeral in Moscow Tuesday.
    One official, with Reagan in Santa Barbara, Calif., said he felt the
president could go to the funeral if the Soviets have chosen a
successor by that time.
    ''It's truly an open question and there will be a judgment made on
the basis of what steps are taken in the Soviet Union,'' the official
said.
    ''Right now, we can't make a judgment . . . because at the moment
there is no chief of state there,'' he said. Asked whether a trip
would depend on if a new leader was chosen and who the person was, he
replied: ''I would guess both.''
    In Washington, a senior official said it was unlikely Reagan would
go to the funeral, and the president was deciding whether to send Vice
President George Bush or Secretary of State George Shultz.
    The United States is awaiting signals from Moscow about the funeral
before deciding the makeup of the American delegation, said this
official, who like the man in Santa Barbara spoke on condition he
remain anonymous.
    Asked whether he would rule out Reagan's participation, he said, ''I
would think it unlikely.''
    The Santa Barbara official said the White House man was expressing
the administration's thinking at the time he made his statement, but
the situation had changed.
    Reagan, according to White House spokesman Larry Speakes, also sent
a message to Soviet officials, expressing his condolences.
    The White House official was cautious in his assessment of what
effect Andropov's death would have on U.S.-Soviet relations.
    Asked whether Andropov's death eliminated any chances for progress
in U.S.-Soviet relations in 1984, the official said: ''I think that
any answer without knowing the successor situation is rhetorical and
of little value.''
    Shultz expressed condolences to the Soviet Union on Andropov's
death, and said Reagan is eager for a ''constructive and realistic
dialogue'' with the Kremlin's new leaders.
    Andropov, the Soviet: 2nd graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1436EDT
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n018  0755  10 Feb 84
BC-ANDROPOV-OBIT 6takes (UNDATED)
By WOLFGANG SAXON
c.1984 N.Y. Times News Service
    Yuri Vladimirovich Andropov, who died Thursday in Moscow at the age
of 69, came to the pinnacle of the Kremlin hierarchy in November 1982
after 15 years at the head of the KGB, the Soviet Union's internal
security and intelligence agency.
    During his relatively brief rule of a little more than a year,
Andropov made tentative attempts to improve the performance of the
Soviet Union's government-run economy, which had long been plagued by
waste and inefficiency. In foreign affairs, however, East-West
relations sank to a low point as arms control talks broke down and
the two sides deployed new types of medium-range missiles in Europe,
apparently signaling a new round in the arms race.
    Andropov had moved in the inner circles of the Communist Party for
many years. But he clearly put himself in position for the top post
just six months before Leonid I. Brezhnev's death when he left the
KGB and became one of the national party secretaries under Brezhnev,
who was the general secretary.
    Brezhnev had put him in charge of the security police 15 years
earlier, to reorganize the agency after the jolting defection to the
United States by Svetlana Stalin and to enforce strict party control.
    Freed of his duties as the police and espionage chief, Andropov
moved swiftly to acquire a more benign public image, and then deftly
outmaneuvered potential rivals in what specialists on the Soviet
Union dubbed a ''presuccession struggle.''
    Brezhnev had remained in power even as his health failed badly,
allowing the country's economic problems to fester and its
overweaning bureaucracy to sink into glacial inertia.
    To make things worse, conflicts in Afghanistan and Poland had left
the Kremlin's relations with the West, particularly with the United
States, in trouble, and had commanded attention and military outlays
of money sorely needed on the domestic front.
    When Brezhnev died, Andropov took over as general secretary with
astonishing ease, even though he apparently won the first vote in the
Politburo by only a narrow majority. He then added two more titles
that had taken Brezhnev years to acquire: the largely ceremonial one
of chairman of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet, or President of
the Soviet Union, and the more important one of chairman of the
National Defense Council, supervising the armed forces.
    Andropov wasted no time to impress on citizens and officials alike
that he meant business: The Soviet Union would maintain its defenses
and its strength abroad at whatever cost. But at home there was to be
a truly new regime to root out corruption and sloth, from top to
bottom. Indifference to work discipline, pervading a country where
ideology and exhortations had turned into soporific rituals, would no
longer be tolerated.
    For some time, Brezhnev holdovers at the top and their dependents at
the middle level of the party bureaucracy stood their ground.
Andropov countered with a campaign to bring younger people to the
fore through regional party elections.
    A cautious program to invigorate the stagnant economy through
greater autonomy on the factory level was announced in July 1983. It,
too, hardly dented the entrenched system of centralized economic
planning that feared private initiative.
    Russian shoppers noticed some improvement in their food supplies,
though most ascribed it to favorable weather and a somewhat more
abundant harvest than to Andropov's arrival on the scene.
    Some inroads were made against corruption. But the political and
factory bosses who had grown fat over the years did not suddenly mend
their ways. They just became more careful.
(MORE)
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nyt-02-10-84 1040est
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a079  0759  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Moscow,540
Black-Draped Flags, Portraits Honor Andropov
By NANCY TRAVER
Associated Press Writer
    MOSCOW (AP) - Black-trimmed red flags whipped in the bitter winter
wind and Muscovites lined up to buy official portaits of Yuri V.
Andropov today as Moscow went into mourning for the second Soviet
leader to die within 15 months.
    People gathered in small groups along the streets around the
Kremlin, watching workers unload hundreds of red flags adorned with
the hammer and sickle symbol of the Soviet Union and draped with black
mourning ribbons.
    On the Arbat, a central street about two blocks from the Kremlin,
long lines formed in the biting cold and snow to buy Andropov's
official portrait at the poster store.
    As evening came, the Central Committee building across the center of
town was draped with black-trimmed flags, its lights blazing and an
extra police guard posted to keep the curious away. Official Zil
automobiles, Chaikas and Volgas filled the parking lot outside.
    ''Of course I know he's gone - everyone knows by now that he's
gone,'' said one man interviewed outside the huge Detski Mir toy store
that sits across Dzerzhinsky Square from the KGB headquarters where
Andropov spent 15 years as head of the secret police.
    ''The announcement was very bad news for me because Andropov was
such a businesslike man and a strong-willed person,'' the man said,
huddling against the wind and pulling his fur ''shapka'' tighter on
his head.
    ''Just a little more than one year had passed and already he had
done so much to instill order in our production and our services,'' he
said, speaking of Andropov's campaign improve productivity and end
corruption.
    Most people received the news today of Andropov's death Thursday
either from television or over the radio. The government did not issue
an order allowing people to leave work or school early in honor of
Andropov.
    The announcement was issued first by the government news agency Tass
at 2:20 p.m. today, and then by a television announcer who wore a
black suit and read the official announcement slowly and with great
solemnity. A black-bordered portrait of Andropov was presented on
television after the announcement, and the announcement was repeated
one hour later.
    But before the official announcement was made, state television and
radio interrupted normal programming and presented concerts with
funereal music. And Muscovites accustomed to interpreting such signs
immediately reasoned that some high-ranking official had died.
    People asked to comment on the death of their leader seemed
genuinely sad. Each said Andropov had managed to make many changes
during his short term of office.
    ''I consider him remarkable. Despite the fact that he was general
secretary for just more than one year, I think that he tried to help
the Soviet Union realize its greatness,'' one woman said.
    ''It is a pity and I regret it very much,'' said a man watching
workers place the black-draped flags along Kuibeshev Street, which
leads to Red Square -the symbolic center of Soviet power and the spot
where Andropov probably will be buried.
    ''The Soviet people need a leader like Andropov because his deeds
didn't contradict his words and he worked to bring us together and
make the country better,'' the man added.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1058EDT
***************

n019  0804  10 Feb 84
BC-ANDROPOV-OBIT 1stadd
NYT UNDATED: more careful.
    Dissidents continued to be harassed And any notion of a loosening of
state control over culture and the arts had long been squelched.
    Abroad, the Soviet Union remained mired militarily in Afghanistan,
its efforts to improve relations with China were at a snail's pace,
and the confrontation with the United States worsened to the point
that it frightened the rest of the world.
    Posturing and stonewalling on nuclear-missile deployments by the tlo
superpowers suspicious of each other roused especially the people of
Western Europe caught in the middle. And the shooting down of a South
Korean airliner in September, further complicated whatever chances
there were for diplomacy.
    Two weeks before the plane incident, Andropov had disappeared from
view, and he was kept out of public sight for nearly six months by
the illness that finally led to his death.
    During this period, Soviet relations with the United States fell to
a low point as nuclear arms control talks on both strategic, or
long-range, arms and medium-range missiles in Europe collapsed in
November 1983.
    In the absence of an accord, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization
proceeded with its plan to station new American Pershing 2 and cruise
missiles in Western Europe, countering the deployment of modern
Soviet missiles, the SS-20s. Moscow responded by stationing new
missiles in forward positions with its forces in East Germany and
Czechoslovakia.
    President Reagan, under apparent pressure from his European allies,
sought to stem the deterioration in Soviet-American relations in
January 1984 by urging the Russians to forge ''a constructive working
relationship'' with the United States and to return to the
negotiations on arms control.
    Andropov responded by saying that the Soviet Union valued a dialogue
with the United States but looked to ''practical deeds'' from the
Americans showing that they were serious. He insisted that the United
States and its allies would have to ''display readiness to return to
the situation'' that existed before the start of deployment of the
American medium-range missiles in Western Europe in December.
    At the start of his rule, Andropov (pronounced Ahn-DROH-puff)
promptly shook up the government, ridding it of ineffective ministers
by retiring some and shifting others to less critical spots. Proven
performers moved into key positions. Ministries began to tackle some
of the worst bottlenecks, like the national railroad system, whose
service as the primary freight hauler matched the inefficiency of
many of the industries it served.
    Government agencies received notice that their personnel must
strictly observe work hours. The public at large found that out, too,
when officers fanned out to stores, movie theaters and bath houses
for identity checks to corral truant workers. It was a general,
albeit short-lived, offensive on an attitude encapsulated in the
Russian mot: ''They pretend to pay us, and we pretend to work.''
    Andropov visited factory workers and told them that widespread
practice of loafing, drinking and arriving late to work, or not
arriving at all, did nothing to relieve the shortage of goods. But
discipline, he said, was not just for workers. ''It applies to
everyone,'' he declared on a Moscow factory floor, ''starting with
ministers.''
    In a performance recalling a predecessor, Nikita S. Khrushchev, he
did not merely hector but spoke with the workers and listened to
their complaints. Within months, there was a marked rise in labor
productivity, and the performance of the Soviet economy in 1983
turned out to be a significant improvement over the previous year.
    But while Andropov's succession provided a psychological jolt at
home, the opportunity for new departures in foreign affairs seemed to
come and go.
    He himself was in the background after a Soviet fighter shot down
the South Korean airliner on Sept. 1, with the loss of 269 lives. The
incident caused a worldwide outcry, especially when Soviet
authorities first sought to tough it out and then made things worse
with confusing information. Only its final version, that the airliner
was mistaken for a spy plane after it strayed far off course in the
dark, gained some credence, if not in official Washington.
(MORE)
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n020  0813  10 Feb 84
BC-ANDROPOV-OBIT 2ndadd
NYT UNDATED: official Washington.
    Aside from having a large Soviet military force tied down in a
costly and seemingly endless war in Afghanistan, Moscow remained
burdened with expensive commitments in Angola, Ethiopia, Vietnam,
Cuba and elsewhere.
    Talks aimed at improving relations with China failed to overcome
mutual suspicions. The initial outcome amounted to a tentative
agreement to tone down mutual accusations and to expand trade,
leaving the bothersome political and border issues for another day.
    The missed opportunity appeared most glaring in respect to the
United States, where the Reagan administration was wary of Andropov's
overtures and stuck to a firm tone in its denunciations of the Soviet
Union.
    In his early pronouncements on armaments and negotiations to control
them, Andropov vowed to keep the Soviet Union strong. He denied
American assertions that Moscow had or sought superiority and
softened his language with conciliatory phrases, calling for a return
to detente and, specifically, improved relations with the United
States. Lesser commentators answered American talk of ''evil'' in
Moscow with predictable indignation.
    The confrontation took an ominous turn in the spring of 1983, with
President Reagan's call for antimissile defenses in space that might,
years hence, render the Soviet Union's nuclear forces useless, at
least in theory.
    Andropov struck back. He accused Reagan of making a ''bid to disarm
the Soviet Union,'' warning that the two sides would be heading into
a ''runaway race'' in offensive and defensive nuclear weaponry.
    He charged Reagan with ''impudent distortions of the Soviet Union's
policy'' and ''deliberate untruth'' about a build-up of Soviet
missiles in Europe. Washington's attempt to bolster its ability to
fight and win a nuclear war was ''not just irresponsible, it is
insane,'' Andropov declared.
    At home, it had become evident that the early impetus of the
Andropov regime had fallen victim to a large extent to backstage
political in-fighting. There was the recalcitrance of lower-level
officials who owed their allegiance to the old guard of Brezhnev
allies on top. And the old guard seemed too entrenched for Andropov,
without a clearly defined power base of his own, to carry out the
sweeping changes he evidently had envisioned.
    Andropov had brought with him a past of no-nonsense intolerance of
the flickers of political protest, which his KGB - the Committee for
State Security - ruthlessly stamped out under his chairmanship.
    As ambassador to Budapest, he had a hand in the bloody suppression
of the Hungarian uprising in 1956. And as a ranking member of the
hierarchy, he figured in the decisions to invade Czechoslovakia in
1968, send Soviet troops into Afghanistan in 1979 and pressure the
Polish government into squelching the Solidarity movement, and
perhaps in the declaration of martial law in Poland in December 1981.
    Some observers in Moscow suggested that he urged caution on
Afghanistan and, drawing on his Hungarian experiences, resisted
others who were ready to order the Soviet Army into Poland.
    There were facets to Andropov that set him apart from the old men
who ran an enormous country - a superpower on the world stage - by
then largely on momentum.
    By height alone, Andropov stood out at state occasions among his
colleagues on the ruling Politburo. His steady gaze from behind
rimless glasses, his donnish appearance suggested a scholar rather
than a functionary or ideologue. His intelligence was undisputed.
Some Russians also liked his style and bearing, believing he might do
them proud in meetings with foreign leaders.
    Despite his disciplinarian traits, Andropov struck many Russians as
an independent thinker, a straightforward leader and a capable
politician who saw the urgent need for economic and social renewal.
And from his stewardship at the KGB he presumably knew more about
Soviet failings and their remedies than Brezhnev or anyone else on
the Politburo.
(MORE)
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nyt-02-10-84 1059est
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a081  0816  10 Feb 84
PM-US-Soviet Outlook,850
An AP News Analysis
By BAARRY SCHWEID
Associated Press Writer
    WAASHINTON (AP) - Strains in U.S.-Soviet relations are unlikely to
ease as the Kremlin ponders a successor to Yuri Andropov and the two
superpowers remain committed to policies that produced the current
chill.
    President Reagan is bent on modernizing the U.S. armed forces with
record defense spending while waiting the Soviets out on the
stalemated nuclear arms control negotiations.
    The Soviets decided months ago not to expect any major policy shift
from Reagan, who has condemned their government as ''an evil
empire.''
    Indeed, the United States is pledged to continued deployment of a
new generation of U.S. nuclear missiles in Europe, which Moscow cited
in suspending nuclear arms control talks in  9.v.  u 98u c u  9   95.9 e nn
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major exception to the chilled relationship is the projected
sale of 22 million tons of American wheat and corn to the Soviet
Union this year.
    But, as for the military outlook, Assistant Defense Secretary
Richard Perle said today that he doesn't ''expect the Kremlin's
military policy to change at all,''
    Perle, who is in charge of international security policy at the
Pentagon, added, ''The Soviet general staff is pretty much in charge
of military policy and that will continue.''
    But Perle, reflecting a widespread view in the administration, said
the ''paralysis'' on the Soviet s
Bust It
    
ap-ny-02-10 1115EDT
***************

n021  0821  10 Feb 84
BC-ANDROPOV-OBIT 3rdadd
NYT UNDATED: on the Politburo.
    Unlike his predecessor, Andropov avoided the sort of personality
cult that had grown around Brezhnev and his predecessors - the
portraits hanging everywhere and functionaries treating his every
utterance as a revelation worthy of Marx or Lenin.
    In contrast to most Soviet leaders, Andropov also knew about the
outside world, if only by having lived abroad during his assignment
in Budapest. It was an East European capital but one with a Western
flair.
    Before and after his rise, it was even said in Moscow - not denied
and not confirmed - that his dour, enigmatic countenance masked a man
very different from the Kremlin norm.
    He was said to have studied English at some point - perhaps in
connection with his service in Hungary as a diplomat - but no
foreigner ever reported hearing him speak anything but Russian.
    None of the earlier Kremlin leaders ever hinted at such
sophistication; nor would Russians or foreign observers have believed
it, as they did in the case of Andropov. His espionage sources and
inherent intelligence made him the best-informed member of the party
leadership - on Western affairs as well as his own country, about
which he had kept the dossiers.
    Still, his roots were in the grinding workaday world of
prerevolutionary Russia that bred most of his peers in the upper
reaches of the party.
    Andropov was born June 15, 1914, at the railroad settlement of
Nagutskoye, in the Northern Caucasus region, into the family of a
railroad worker. He went to work at 16, holding jobs as a telegraph
operator, Volga boat worker and apprentice film technician before
completing a course at a technical college in 1936.
    His education continued at a state university in Petrozavodsk,
capital of Karelia, later to become the Karelo-Finnish Republic for a
time. There he also got into the party work that earned him admission
to the Higher Party School of the Central Committee.
    He was an organizer and functionary for the Komsomol, the Young
Communist League, in Russia proper before being put in charge of the
Karelian Komsomol in 1940, a post he held for four years. Inducted
into the party in 1939, he rose through the ranks and during World
War II used the Karelo-Finnish party organization to field guerrilla
units behind German lines.
    Andropov's diligence drew the eye of Otto V. Kuusinen, a prominent
figure in Cominform, the Soviet-dominated world organization of world
Communist parties that was dissolved in 1943. Backed by Kuusinen, a
survivor of the Stalinist purges, Andropov's career thrived.
    He was made a party secretary in Karelia in 1947, and in 1951 the
promising young party man was called to Moscow to serve on the staff
of the Central Committee as an inspector and section chief.
    Andropov was attached to the diplomatic service in 1953. He served
as counselor in the Soviet embassy in Budapest and, in 1954, was
promoted to ambassador. It was this stint that made him the only
Soviet leader since Lenin to have lived abroad for any length of time.
    It was a time of trouble in Hungary, with unrest building toward the
uprising of 1956. Budapest became a battle field that November.
Soviet tanks poured across the border to overwhelm what Moscow
regarded as a threat to its security buffer in Eastern Europe.
(MORE)
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nyt-02-10-84 1106est
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n022  0829  10 Feb 84
BC-ANDROPOV-OBIT 4thadd
NYT UNDATED: Eastern Europe.
    This came despite the Kremlin's assurances via Andropov to Imre
Nagy, the reform-minded Hungarian leader, that no intervention was
taking place. Angered by such duplicity, the Hungarians then made the
fateful decision to pull out of the Warsaw Pact and so informed
Andropov.
    The commander of Hungary's national guard at the time, Gen. Bela
Kiraly, bitterly reflected later in American exile on an encounter he
had with the ambassador.
    ''Here was this man Andropov who clearly understood what was going
on,'' Kiraly said, ''yet he pretended until the last moment to me and
to the prime minister and to others that everything was business as
usual. Even pirates, before they attack another ship, hoist a black
flag. He was absolutely calculating.''
    Various accounts name Andropov as the one who planned Hungary's
future and persuaded Janos Kadar, a Hungarian party leader, to defect
to the Kremlin's side. And as the pincers closed around Budapest,
Andropov apparently talked a reluctant Khrushchev, the Kremlin chief,
into installing Kadar as Nagy's successor.
    Andropov returned to Moscow in 1957 but kept a close watch on
Hungary. As Kadar evolved the economic decentralization program
sometimes referred to as ''goulash Communism,'' Hungarians made their
peace with the authorities, and Andropov was given credit for
Moscow's tolerance of Budapest's unorthodox ways.
    Hungarians who knew Andropov said after his installation as Kremlin
chief that he had been like no other Soviet diplomat. They remembered
his roaming the countryside to talk with villagers and workers. Many
noted the quality of his mind, describing him as a man who thought
before he spoke.
    Referring to the events of 1956, a Budapest editor, Janos Berecz,
told The New York Times: ''He learned from that experience. He knows
perfectly well that the crisis here, and similar crises elsewhere in
Eastern Europe, have nothing to do with Western imperialists arriving
here and manufacturing difficulties. He knows that crises arise from
within and have to be solved from within. That counts for a lot.''
    Western observers also pointed out that Andropov had arrived in
Hungary as a 40-year-old apparatchik and turned proconsul in
remarkably short order. When Hungary fell apart, this normally should
have been the ticket to oblivion for somebody in his position, they
said. Instead, Andropov moved up.
    His first task back in Moscow in 1957 was to head the Central
Committee's department for relations with other Communist countries,
a job requiring great diplomatic skill in the aftermath of Hungary.
    That year coincided with the 50th anniversary of the Soviet security
service. Andropov was quoted on that occasion as having said that
there was no return for the KGB to the methods of the dreaded
predecessors notorious for murderous excesses of the Stalin era.
    Andropov became a member of the Central Committee in 1961 and joined
the Secretariat a year later.
    Khrushchev fell from power in 1964 and Brezhnev, who initially had
to share it, soon emerged as the sole leader. In 1967, he promoted
Andropov to nonvoting candidate membership in the all-important
Politburo and sent him to KGB headquarters on Moscow's Dzerzhinsky
Square, where he would spend the next 15 years.
    Brezhnev's purpose was to clamp firm political control on a service
that commanded nearly a million people and whose reputation for
legality or respect for the individual was nil, at home and abroad.
    In its various incarnations, the agency had usurped vast powers,
functioning as a political and security police force as well as an
intelligence and counterintelligence service. Its internal-security
role waned only after Stalin's death in 1953 when its longtime chief,
Lavrenti P. Beria, was secretly tried and shot in a power struggle.
(MORE)
nn
    
nyt-02-10-84 1115est
***************

a082  0833  10 Feb 84
PM-US-Soviet Outlook,850
An AP News Analysis
By BAARRY SCHWEID
Associated Press Writer
    WAASHINTON (AP) - Strains in U.S.-Soviet relations are unlikely to
ease as the Kremlin ponders a successor to Yuri Andropov and the two
superpowers remain committed to policies that produced the current
chill.
    President Reagan is bent on modernizing the U.S. armed forces with
record defense spending while waiting the Soviets out on the
stalemated nuclear arms control negotiations.
    The Soviets decided months ago not to expect any major policy shift
from Reagan, who has condemned their government as ''an evil
empire.''
    Indeed, the United States is pledged to continued deployment of a
new generation of U.S. nuclear missiles in Europe, which Moscow cited
in suspending nuclear arms control talks in Geneva, Switzerland last
fall.
    The administration has ruled out any concessions to pull the Soviets
back to the negotiating table and the Soviets consider any changes in
U.S. policy toward them unlikely before the November presidential
election, which they expect Reagan to win.
    At the same time, the Soviets continue to pour arms into Syria for
its campaign against the Lebanese government - an action that has
drawn a prolonged, harsh response from the Reagan administration.
    The one major exception to the chilled relationship is the projected
sale of 22 million tons of American wheat and corn to the Soviet
Union this year.
    But, as for the military outlook, Assistant Defense Secretary
Richard Perle said today that he doesn't ''expect the Kremlin's
military policy to change at all,''
    Perle, who is in charge of international security policy at the
Pentagon, added, ''The Soviet general staff is pretty much in charge
of military policy and that will continue.''
    But Perle, reflecting a widespread view in the administration, said
the ''paralysis'' on the Soviet side in the arms talks may have been
due in part to Andropov's lingering illness. This theory holds that
other Krelmin officials were reluctant to take on the responsibility
of making major shifts in position.
    But Kenneth Adelman, the U.S. arms control director, said in a
recent interview that the negotiations had not reached the point where
a political decision had to be taken in Moscow. Until that point,
Adelman said, the Soviet military always dominates the discussions.
    ''In any negotiations, if one side just doesn't want to deal it's
hard to make a deal,'' he said.
    James Schlesinger, former secretary of defense and CIA director,
predicted continuity in Soviet foreign policy if a senior Polituburo
member succeeds Andropov.
    ''We must recognize,'' he said, ''that the Soviets are in no mood to
talk with us. Relations are very, very cool at this time.''
    Schlesinger suggested Secretary of State George P. Shultz or Vice
President George Bush be sent to Andropov's funeral. ''We should be
prepared for brief discussions with them,'' Schlesinger said on the
''CBS Morning News'' program.
    However, he said he did not foresee an early summit meeting between
Reagan and the new Soviet leader. ''I think the Soviets will be
preoccupied with their own problems,'' Schlesinger said.
    Zbigniew Brzezinski, who was President Carter's national security
adviser, also said Shultz or Bush should attend the funeral.
    ''I think it's a time for some initiatives from us - careful,
prudent probes by the United States (as to) whether we cannot resume
the dialogue that is needed between the United States and the Soviet
Union,'' he said on the ABC program ''Good Morning America.''
    Former Secretary of State Henry A. Kissinger advised on the same
program against Reagan attending Andropov's funeral. ''It would show
an eagerness that is inappropriate to the occasion,'' he said.
    However, Kissinger said he expected the Soviets to launch ''some
sort of peace offensive'' and to take ''a calmer tone'' toward the
United States while choosing a successor. He said this might include
''the beginning of some negotiations.''
    In that event, Kissinger said, the United States should let the
Soviets know that ''if they want serious, concrete, precise talks, we
will be more than ready.''
    Malcolm Toon, a former U.S. ambassador to Moscow, said he expected
no significant Kremlin changes as a result of Andropov's death.
    ''I think we're going to be dealing with the same sort of person
we've seen in the leadership over the past four or five years, an old
man, a member of the older generation,'' he said. ''Probably somebody
moving in there on a transitional basis and not any basic change in
policies or behavior for a long time to come.''
    Despite its anti-Soviet stance, the Reagan administration last year
entered into an agreement with Moscow to provide 12 million tons of
American grain and then announced three weeks ago it had offrered to
sell the Soviets an additional 10 million tons.
    This U.S. bailout, which also pays off handsomely for American
farmers, could serve as a basis for building an improved relationship.
But past grain deals did not ease superpower strains, and whoever
emerges to take Andropov's place probably will be looking for other
indications of U.S. friendhsip.
    Commenting two weeks ago on the current chill, Carter said ''the
level of animosity and vituperation has been greater than we have had
sine the Cold War.''
    Carter said ''the Soviet people are just as good as we are. The
Soviet leaders want to avoid a confrontation that leads to a nuclear
war.''
    ---
    Barry Schweid covers foreign affairs for the Associated Press
    
ap-ny-02-10 1132EDT
***************

n023  0839  10 Feb 84
BC-ANDROPOV-OBIT 5thadd
NYT UNDATED: power struggle.
    By the time Andropov arrived at Dzerzhinsky Square, the watchword
was ''socialist legality'' and the KGB's main concern was external
security - including espionage and covert operations.
    With the dismantling of Beria's Gulag Archipelago, the terror had
gone as far as the average citizen was concerned. But there remained
enough internal police work for Andropov to show his ideological
mettle and to disabuse those among his peers who suspected him of
squeamishness because of his comparatively easy-going style.
    Doubters who voiced their views in public could no longer be shot or
simply herded to prisons and forced-labor camps. Instead the KGB
under Andropov had poets and writers bundled off to psychiatric
clinics when they overstepped the line and refused to recant. Others
were tried on political charges like slandering the state, for which
they were given jail sentences.
    The most prominent, most inconvenient cases presumably were decided
at the highest level in the Kremlin. Still, it was Andropov's KGB
that deported Aleksandr I. Solzhenitzyn, the writer, and banished
Andrei D. Sakharov, the physicist and rights advocate, from Moscow to
Gorky to sever his contacts with foreigners.
    The Politburo decided in May 1982 that it was safe to put a career
security official in charge of the KGB once again.
    Andropov's switch from the agency stirred much speculation. It was
seen as a gamble in which he yielded his power base to put some
distance between himself and the KGB. This presumably improved his
standing in the contest for the mantle of Brezhnev.
    Andropov had won full membership in the Politburo in 1973. His
status grew further with the army general's rank he added to his many
decorations, including two Orders 1f Lenin. And he promptly showed
his skill at political infighting.
    His public speeches showed him second to none in upholding the
leading role of the party in society, ruling out ''bourgeois
pluralism'' in a Communist country, decrying ''Eurocommunism'' and
insisting on a strong military.
    The difference in his approach lay in remarks, for instance, that
Marxism-Leninism was ''intolerant of all stagnation'' - which meant
he believed urgent changes were needed - or that armed might alone
did not make for security, that a healthy economy was just as
important.
    Andropov went into action after the death of Mikhail A. Suslov, the
Stalinist party ideologue, early in 1982. There was word in Moscow
that Andropov told a Central Committee meeting that he wanted to
leave Dzerzhinsky Square and take over Suslov's duties.
    His principal rival was thought to be Konstantin U. Chernenko, long
a Brezhnev aide, friend and favorite. Andropov was perceived as more
intelligent, enlightened and, above all, pragmatic.
    In addition, he apparently had the backing of the KGB, the military
and two key members of the Politburo, Foreign Minister Andrei A.
Gromyko and Defense Minister Dmitri F. Ustinov, who engineered the
outcome. High-ranking party officials, preoccupied with United
States-Soviet relations, reportedly thought that his familiarity with
American affairs equipped him to deal with the adversary.
    Brezhnev died in the morning of Nov. 10, 1982, after 18 years at the
helm, and Andropov was installed as his successor as General
Secretary of the Communist Party two days later. There were rumors of
a brief power play. But when the country returned to business after
Brezhnev's burial, Andropov was plainly in command and ready to put
his imprint on the Soviet system.
    At first a group of Brezhnev loyalists led by Chernenko appeared to
block some of Andropov's moves toward the thorough house-cleaning
that might have cost them their positions and influence.
    But as Andropov's first year in office wore on, he appeared to
consolidate his authority. The appointment of two new full members of
the Politburo in December 1983 was widely interpreted as enhancing
the position of Andropov, and a further gain in strength for the
party leader was seen in a shuffle of regional officials in January
1984.
    By this time, however, he had already been out of public view for
six months, and appeared to be ruling the Soviet Union virtually in
absentia.
    
nyt-02-10-84 1124est
***************

a086  0842  10 Feb 84
BC-Soviet Pronouncer,0088
A Pronunciation Guide to Soviet Names
    MOSCOW (AP) - Here is a guide to the pronunciation of Soviet names
to accompany stories on the death of Soviet President Yuri V.
Andropov:
    Andropov - An-drop'-off.
    Gorbachev - Gor-batch'-yev.
    Romanov - Rome-an'-off.
    Chernenko - Chair-nyen'-ko.
    Vorotnikov - Var-ot'-nikov.
    Ustinov - oo-steen'-off.
    Gromyko - Grow-meek'-o.
    Solomentsev - Solo-ment'-sev.
    Gaidar Aliev - Guy-dar Al-ye'-ev.
    Shcherbitsky - shchair-beet'-ski.
    Grishin - Gree'-shin.
    Tikhonov - Tiko-nov'.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1141EDT
***************

a087  0853  10 Feb 84
PM-Congress-Andropov,540
Lawmakers Hope For Improved US-Soviet Relations
By W. DALE NELSON
Associated Press Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Some members of Congress expressed hope today that
Yuri Andropov's death might lead to better relations between the
superpowers, but a senator who met the Soviet leader last summer says
the situation could remain unclear for some time.
    Andropov, 69, died Thursday after serving 15 months as Soviet
president.
    ''The death of Yuri Andropov may provide an opportunity that we've
missed to improve understanding between the United States and the
Soviet Union,'' said Rep. Paul Simon, D-Ill.
    ''Ronald Reagan is the first leader since Herbert Hoover not to meet
with the Soviet leadership and that clearly must change. We must now
at least explore the possibility of improved relations,'' he added.
    Sen. Richard G. Lugar, R-Ind., chairman of the European Affairs
subcommittee of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said,
''Andropov's death does present an opportunity for the United States
to renew arms control negotiations with the Soviets.''
    ''The Soviets have had two reasons not to negotiate,'' Lugar said.
''Andropov's long illness created a vacuum in Soviet leadership, and
the decision by the Western European nations last year to go ahead
with the deployment of intermediate-range missiles showed to the
Soviets that NATO was still strong.''
    Lugar said that ''new leadership in the Soviet Union may mean the
time is right for new negotiations,'' but he added that Andropov's
replacement ''will most likely be of the same hard-line variety with
the backing of the Soviet military and the KGB.''
    ''We'll just have to see how the leadership succession unveils,'' he
said.
    Sen Dale Bumpers, D-Ark., said Andropov's lengthy illness showed
clearly during a meeeting with U.S. leaders last summer.
    Bumpers was one of eight senators who met for two hours in Moscow on
Aug. 18 with Andropov at the Soviet leader's last public appearance.
    ''We've known since we visited with Andropov last summer that it was
just a matter of time,'' Bumpers said. ''My guess is that there's
already been a power play in the Soviet Union as to who his succesor
will be. We'll know in the next 48 hours or so just how that's going
to wash out.''
    Bumpers said he couldn't guess what the death would mean for future
U.S.-Soviet relations.
    ''It's going to be a good long while before we'll know what this
means, probably as long as a year, maybe even two years, as far as
American-Soviet relations.
    ''It's not dangerous for the United States right now. It's rather
dangerous for the Soviet Union, because if they don't have their ducks
in a row, and if they don't have a quiet and peaceful transition, it
could portend something of an upheaval. I think we should remain calm
and simply observe.''
    Senate Republican leader Howard H. Baker Jr. of Tennessee expressed
regret at the death of Andropov after receiving the news in an early
morning telephone call from Secretary of State George P. Shultz.
    ''I am sorry to hear of the death of President Andropov and I extend
my sympathy to the government and people of the Soviet Union,'' Baker
said.
    Tom Griscom, the Tennessee senator's press secretary, said no
decisions had been made as to who would represent the United States at
the Soviet leader's funeral.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1151EDT
 - - - - - -

a091  0922  10 Feb 84
PM-Congress-Andropov, 1st Ld-Writethru, a087,570
Eds: New thruout with fresh material
By W. DALE NELSON
Associated Press Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Several members of Congress said today President
Reagan should consider attending Yuri Andropov's funeral and expressed
hope that the Soviet president's death might lead to better relations
between the superpowers.
    ''I think going there for the funeral could help establish some
relationships that do not now exist,'' said Sen. Rudy Boschwitz,
R-Minn., who said he had expressed his view to the White House and to
Secretary of State George Shultz.
    Andropov, 69, died Thursday after serving 15 months as Soviet
president. At his last public appearance in August, he met with
several Democratic senators.
    Boschwitz, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations subcommittee on
the Middle East, added, ''I think the change of leadership in Russia
probably will not be a change in direction'' at least for the
present.
    Sen. Donald Riegle, D-Mich., said, ''I hope President Reagan will
seize the opportunity to attend Andropov's funeral and then meet with
the new Soviet leader that will be named.''
    Sen. Edward M. Kennedy, D-Mass., also said he hoped Reagan would
attend the funeral, and added, ''I also urge him to propose
negotiations at the highest level as soon as possible to discuss
outstanding differences with the Soviet Union.''
    Andropov's death, Kennedy said, presented both ''opportunity and
danger.'' He explained: ''There is an opportunity for a new
breakthrough; there is a danger of continued tension and escalation of
the nuclear arms race.''
    Senate Democratic Leader Robert C. Byrd of West Virginia seized on
the opportunity angle, saying he hoped ''the administration will
signal the Soviets a serious desire to work with them in achieving
reductions in nuclear arsenals and a lessening of global tensions.''
    But a Republican, Sen. Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania, said
Andropov's death ''will further complicate the issue of negotiations
on arms reductions'' because ''the only way to break the impasse
between the United States and the Soviet Union is to have a summit
meeting between President Reagan and the Soviet leader.''
    One of the senators who met with Andropov, Dale Bumpers, an Arkansas
Democrat, said the Soviet leader's lengthy illness showed clearly
last summer.
    Bumpers said he couldn't guess what the death would m↑
 
fhat this
means, probably as long as a year, maybe even two years, as far as
American-Sovieittee of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said,
''Andropov's death does present an opportunity for the United States
to renew arms control negotiations with the Soviets.''0rry to hear of Andropov'-
s death, and ''I extend my sympathy to the
government and people of the Soviet Union.''
    Some congressmen said Reagan should jump at the change to ease
superpower tensions.
    ''Ronald Reagan is the first leader since Herbert Hoover not to meet
with the Soviet leadership and that clearly must change. We must now
at least explore the possibility of improved relations,'' said Rep.
Paul Simon, D-Ill.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1220EDT
 - - - - - -

a202  0957  10 Feb 84
PM-Congress-Andropov, 2nd Ld, a091,110
Eds: Subs 2nd graf
By W. DALE NELSON
Associated Press Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Several members of Congress said today President
Reagan should consider attending Yuri Andropov's funeral and expressed
hope that the Soviet president's death might lead to better relations
between the superpowers.
    Others on Capitol Hill said it wasn't necessary for Reagan to go to
Moscow. ''They were not friends, they didn't know each other, they
had never met,'' said Sen. Dale Bumpers, D-Ark.
    But Sen. Rudy Boschwitz, R-Minn., said ''I think going there for the
funeral could help establish some relationships that do not now
exist.'' Boschwitz said he had expressed his view to the White House
and to Secretary of State George Shultz.
    Andropov, 69,: 3rd graf
    
ap-ny-02-10 1251EDT
***************

n027  0905  10 Feb 84
BC-ADVISORY
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
NOT FROM THE NEW YORK TIMES
Copyright 1983 Richard Nixon
World rights. (1,500)
NIXON EVALATES ANDROPOV'S IMPACT ON THE SOVIET UNION
By RICHARD NIXON
    The late Yuri Andropov knew the Soviet Union better than anyone
else; but, says former president Richard Nixon, although Andropov
knew his country's strengths, he ''was no fool. He was also aware of
the profound weaknesses of the Soviet Union.'' In this excerpt from
Nixon's newest book, ''Real Peace: A Strategy for the West'' (Little
Brown & Co.), Nixon offers an incisive assessment of the late Kremlin
leader, evaluates the political and economic climate within which
Andropov worked, and suggests that, although they can never be
friends because of their irreconcilable interests, the Soviet Union
and the United States can cooperate to mutual benefit as the world's
two major economic powers. (slugged BC-NIXON, priority code r,
category code c)
To purchase the above material call The New York Times Syndication
Sales Corp. (212) 972-1070, Dan Barber or Susan Carroll. Overseas
clients contact Paul Gendelman in Paris: 742-1711 or 742-1411 (telex
842-230650).
This material will be transmitted to you on Fri., Feb. 10, on the tav
selector code.
    
nyt-02-10-84 1151est
***************

a089  0907  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-World Reaction,580
Mourning in Bulgaria, Jokes in Poland, Concern in West
By The Associated Press
    Mournful music filled East European airwaves today, and Western
leaders speculated uncertainly about the future of East-West relations
as news spread of the death of Soviet leader Yuri V. Andropov.
    In Warsaw's streets, ordinary Poles smiled at word of the passing of
the Kremlin chief, whom many associate with the suppression of their
Solidarity labor movement.
    ''We heard the news, and rushed to the liquor store to buy this
brandy,'' joked one of a group of four young Poles, brandishing
bottles of cherry brandy and chatting mirthfully.
    At Sarajevo, Yugoslavia, the news seemed to stun Soviet athletes
competing in the Winter Olympics. Some expressed disbelief.
    ''If our government hasn't told us, then it's a rumor,'' said a
woman from Kiev, who apparently had not yet heard of the official
Soviet announcement in Moscow.
    Soviet and Yugoslav flags at the Olympic Village were lowered to
half-staff to mark the Soviet president's death. Soviet athletes
continued to compete in their scheduled events.
    The news was first announced in Brussels, by French Foreign Minister
Claude Cheysson, at a gathering of European Common Market and Third
World ministers in the Belgian capital. Cheysson, the meeting's
chairman, interrupted the conference briefly this morning for ''an
important announcement.''
    ''Yuri Andropov is dead. The party leader of one of the greatest
nations of the world has passed away. This is an important fact,'' he
said.
    Expressions of condolence - and of hope for improved East-West
relations - came quickly from West European leaders.
    Denmark's foreign minister, Uffe Ellemann-Jensen, said he was sorry
the former KGB secret police chief, who was Moscow's overall leader
for only 15 months, never got a chance to prove himself as a leader.
    ''Andropov made an interesting and promising start and it has to be
regretted that his illness did not offer him the possibility to
demonstrate whether he could live up to the expectations,''
Ellemann-Jensen said on Radio Denmark.
    The center-right Dutch government of Premier Ruud Lubbers issued a
statement saying the Soviet Union had made no real change in its
''well-known'' foreign policy positions under Andropov.
    Official days of mourning are expected to be declared throughout the
East bloc.
    In Bulgaria, the official news agency BTA said, ''The news about the
death . . . threw the Bulgarian people into deep grief and sorrow.''
    Somber classical music was substituted for normal programs on
Czechoslovakian radio by midmorning, as rumors grew over Andropov's
death. Finally, the two-paragraph Tass announcement expressing ''deep
grief'' by the Soviet government and party was read.
    Although ordinary Poles' indifference or sarcasm was evident in
Warsaw's streets, the government-controlled media respectfully mourned
the leader of Poland's main ally.
    A West German government spokesman said in Bonn that conservative
Chancellor Helmut Kohl would attend Andropov's funeral, although the
Germans had not yet been informed of the funeral arrangements.
    The British domestic news agency Press Association said Prime
Minister Margaret Thatcher might also attend Andropov's funeral, and
thus make her first official visit to the Soviet Union since she took
office in 1979.
    In Japan, Foreign Minister Shintaro Abe noted that improving
relations with the Soviet Union has been one of Japan's most important
foreign policy goals.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1206EDT
***************

a090  0911  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Markets,170
Little Reaction to Soviet Leader's Death
Eds: Also moving on the financial wire
With PM-Andropov
    NEW YORK (AP) - Stock and financial markets showed little reaction
today to the announcement that Soviet leader Yuri V. Andropov had
died.
    Analysts said the news came as little surprise to traders, who had
assumed weeks ago that Andropov was gravely ill. The 69-year-old
Soviet leader had not been seen in public for six months.
    Stocks prices in the United States rose modestly in early trading,
but analysts attributed that as a reaction to the market's steep
decline this week. The Dow Jones average of 30 industrials, down more
than 44 points over the week's first four trading days, rose 6.70 to
1,159.44 in the first hour.
    In currency trading, the U.S. dollar rose against other major
currencies in early trading in Europe. The dollar jumped sharply in
opening trading on speculation that Androvpov was dead, but then
dropped back some as traders took profits after the official
announcement in Moscow, analysts said.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1209EDT
***************

n031  0939  10 Feb 84
BC-ADVISORY-newhouse-opener
    THE INDEPENDENT PRESS SERVICE with the complete report of the
    NEWHOUSE NEWS SERVICE
    Good afternoon from the Newhouse News Service. This is your opening
schedule of stories from the Independent Press and Newhouse News
services. Other schedules will follow, including a complete wrapup.
    Please note: Newhouse News Service material on this wire is
embargoed in the following cities - New York; York, Pa.; Passaic,
N.J.; Trenton, N.J.; St. Louis; Detroit and Lansing, Mich.
    Dallas Morning News material on the Independent Press wire is
embargoed in San Antonio.
    If you have any problems or questions, please contact the Newhouse
News Service at 202-383-7800.
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 10, 1984
    SOV-MILITARY (Wood - Newhouse) Kremlinologists disagree over whether
the Soviet Union's bellicose foreign policy under Yuri Andropov was a
result of the accession of military over civilian power in the
Kremlin. But they do agree that no matter who succeeds Andropov,
Moscow's military buildup, intransigence on arms control, and
troublemaking abroad are unlikely to abate. For Sunday use. About 800.
    PESTICIDES-WELL (Gram - Newhouse) The pesticide Temik is a boon to
farmers in their fight against the Colorado potato beetle, but a bane
to homeowners in several states where the dangerous chemical has been
found in well water. Undated. About 700.
    McMANUS-HOLLINGS (McManus - Newhouse) A vote for Hollings is a vote
to cut the deficit. Undated. Northern Perspective column, for McManus
subscribers only. About 900.
RB END
    
nyt-02-10-84 1224est
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a092  0952  10 Feb 84
PM-Candidates-Andropov-Reax,500
Mondale, Hollings and Hart Comment
By EVANS WITT
Associated Press Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Democratic presidential hopefuls said today
President Reagan should go to Soviet leader Yuri Andropov's funeral to
make a fresh start in efforts to improve strained relations between
the superpowers.
    Former Vice President Walter Mondale, Sens. Gary Hart and Ernest F.
Hollings called for Reagan to attend services for Andropov, whose
death was announced today by the Kremlin.
    Sen. John Glenn said he thought such a trip might be helpful, but
refused to flatly advocate it.
    Former South Dakota Sen. George McGovern called the change in Soviet
leadership an opportunity to a new dialogue between the two
countries, a theme echoed by the other candidates as well
    Mondale, in a statement released by his campaign office, said, ''In
normal circumstances, it might not be appropriate for the U.S.
president to go to Moscow for the funeral.
    ''But with the deterioration of U.S.-Soviet relations, I believe the
president should go to the funeral, not to honor Andropov, but to
signal to the Soviet Union and to the world that he will now pursue
every opportunity for peace.
    ''This is the time for bold presidential leadership in the interest
of U.S. security and a safer world,'' added Mondale, who is
campaigning in his home state of Minnesota.
    Three Democratic hopefuls - Alan Cranston, Reubin Askew and Jesse
Jackson - could not be reached immediately for comment.
    The Kremlin announced that Andropov, 6y. Andropov
had not been seen in public since last August.
    Hart called the change in Soviet leaders a chance to wipe the slate
clean.
    ''This is a unique opportunity for the president,'' the Colorado
Democrat told reporters here. ''It is an opportunity to start all over
again to reverse the destructive policies of the last three years.''
    Hart said a presidential decision to attend the funeral would be ''a
symbolic gesture'' of willingness to negotiate with the Soviets.
    In Derry, N.H., Hollings said Reagan has a good chance to back up
his calls for peace with actions by attending the funeral.
    ''I would suggest the president attend the services,'' Hollings of
South Carolina told an audience of about 2,000 at Pinkerton Academy.
    Glenn said in Des Moines, Iowa, that it might be helpful if Reagan
attended the funeral, but he said he would not specifically recommend
that step.
    McGovern, campaigning in Bentonsport, Iowa, said Andropov was ''one
of the Soviet Union's most intelligent and realistic leaders'' before
his death.
    And McGovern took the opportunity to criticize Reagan.
    ''It is a modern tragedy that one of the Soviet Union's most
intelligent and realistic leaders has served and died during the
administration of the most ill-informed and dangerous man ever to
occupy the White House,'' said the former South Dakota senator.
    ''It is a sin against humanity that at a time of grave internatio...
(End missing.)
***************

a201  0952  10 Feb 84
 
Saturday AMs
    
    Here are the top stories for AMs. The General Desk supervisor is
Robert Barr (212-621-1602). The Laserphoto Desk supervisor is Rich
Kareckas (212-621-1900).
    
ANDROPOV DIES:
    
Soviet Union Awaits a New Leader; Andropov Dead at 69
    
    MOSCOW - President Yuri V. Andropov has died after a term of 15
months that began with promises of change and ended with the former
KGB chief ruling from his sickbed. Soviets hung out mourning flags and
awaited word on who would assume the seat of communist power. Slug
AM-Andropov. Developing.
    
    With Laserphotos NY29,30,31,35,36,41,45; Laserphoto color project
NY25,26,27, WX7,SJV42 and SLV57.
    
US Officials React Cautiously; Reagan Urged to Attend Funeral
    
    WASHINGTON - Members of Congress from both parties call on President
Reagan to attend the funeral of Soviet President Yuri Andropov as a
dramatic gesture to begin a thaw in U.S.-Soviet relations. Slug
AM-US-Andropov. Developing. With AM-Congress-Andropov.
    
Washington Expects No Immediate Improvement in Relations
    
    WASHINGTON - Strains in U.S.-Soviet relations are unlikely to ease
as the Kremlin ponders a successor to Yuri Andropov. Speculation is
focusing on Politburo members Mikhail Gorbachev and Grigory Romanov.
Slug AM-US-Soviet. An AP News Analysis by Barry Schweid. 700.
    
World Leaders Hoping for Better Times Ahead
    
    UNDATED - The death of Soviet President Yuri V. Andropov evokes
regrets among world leaders along with hopes for a new push toward
East-West detente. The general assessment is that his term was too
short to leave a lasting imprint. Slug AM-Andropov-World Reaction.
    
LEBANON:
    
Israeli Jets Hit Near Beirut; Militias Duel Lebanese Army
    
    BEIRUT, Lebanon - Israeli jets hit targets in Syrian-controlled
territory. Rebel militias and Lebanese soldiers fire across the
frontier between east and west Beirut as hundreds of foreign nationals
are evacuated from the capital. Slug AM-Mideast Roundup. Laserphoto
NY8.
    
Reagan's Election  use their mission is almost completely
frustrated and the ships may not be safe enouo4r ARE+ELECTION
CAMPAIGN. But, Laxalt adds, he's only speaking for himself. Slug
AM-Laxalt-Lebanon. May stand. 600.
    
REAGAN: Crises Coincide with His Leisure
    
    SANTA BARBARA, Calif. - Crises seem to have a way of breaking out
during President Reagan's vacations. The latest instance was the death
of Soviet leader Andropov while Reagan was at his ranch in the Santa
Ynez Mountains. Slug AM-Reagan's Crises. Should stand. 800.
    
SPACE SHUTTLE: Flash, Buck and Three Insiders Prepare to Land
    
    CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. - Space walkers ''Flash Gordon and Buck
Rogers'' and their three colleagues get Challenger ready to complete
the first Florida-to-Florida space flight, heading for a dawn landing
on the world's longest paved runway. Slug AM-Space Shuttle. By Harry
F. Rosenthal. Developing. Laserphoto HTN2.
    
INFLATION: Prices Up But Analysts Not Worried
    
    WASHINGTON - Skyrocketing food costs sent wholesale prices soaring
0.6 percent in January, the biggest gain in 14 months, but analysts
blame the price surge on the harsh winter weather and dismiss fears of
a fresh spurt in inflation. Slug AM-Inflation. Should stand. 600.
Laserphoto chart NY50.
    
HUMAN RIGHTS: State Department Cites Upsurge in Salvadoran Death
Squads
    
    WASHINGTON - After a four-year siege by left-wing guerrillas,
rightist death squads re-emerged in El Salvador last year and the
nation's ''historically weak and ineffective'' justice system was
''near collapse,'' the State Department says in its annual human
rights report. Slug AM-Human Rights. About 700.
    
TODAY'S FOCUS: Iranian Exiles Wonder What Went Wrong
    
    PARIS - Five years after the revolution that turned a strategically
crucial pro-Western ''island of stability'' into a hostile Islamic
republic, Iran remains the source of intense concern and debate. Some
of the principal actors, now exiles in France, look back in an effort
to determine what, in their view, went wrong in Iran. Slug AM-Focus
Iranian Exiles. By Greg MacArthur. Will stand.
    
CONSUMER SCORECARD: New Accounts Draw New Money
    
    UNDATED - Not all bank accounts are created equal. And they are
getting more unequal as the government loosens the reins on financial
institutions and the competition for consumer dollars increases. Slug
AM-Savings. Consumer Scorecard by Louise Cook. Will stand. Laserphoto
cartoon NY51.
    
 
ap-ny-02-10 1247EDT
***************

a205  1008  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov,Advisory,
EDITORS:
    A new lead to PM-US-Andropov, with the first official U.S. statement
on the death of Yuri Andropov, will move shortly.
The AP
    
ap-ny-02-10 1306EDT
***************

n042  1105  10 Feb 84
BC-ADVISORY Review Sked
     Editors: The following items from The N.Y. Times Week in Review for
Feb. 12 will move this weekend.
    
    Moscow--REVIEW-ANDROPOV--Just what did Yuri Andropov accomplish in
his short term of office? 1,200.--by John F. Burns.
    Washington--REVIEW-AMERSOVIET--Will Andropov's death open up the
possibility of a change in Russian-American relations? Is there an
opportunity to be grabbed? 950.--by Bernard Gwertzman.
    Beirut--REVIEW-LEBANON--The prospects for Lebanon now that Syria
appears to be in control of the situation. Is it a standoff again?
1,100.--by Thomas L. Friedman.
    San Salvador--REVIEW-CENTAM--American fuss over elections (or lack
of them) in Nicaragua and El Salvador is understandable, but what
does the U.S. stand to gain there? 1,000.--by Hedrick Smith.
    Undated--REVIEW-GLENN--The Glenn campaign, New Hampshire and Iowa.
The beginning of the end? 900.--by David Shribman.
    
    Washington--REVIEW-GENES--New fears arise about gene-splicing.
900.--by Philip M. Boffey.
    
nyt-02-10-84 1351est
***************

n046  1134  10 Feb 84
AM-NYT-ADVISORY Addsked
Add N.Y. Times News Service Schedule Feb. 10:
COLUMN
    New York-BAKER-Observer: Humility is for wackos. By Russell Baker.
Early.
    Sarajevo-ANDERSON-Sports of the Times: Dave Anderson writes about
snowouts. Priority.
    
ANDROPOV
    Moscow-ANDROPOV-Yuri V. Andropov, fifth leader of the Soviet Union
since the Bolshevik revolution, dies at the age of 69 after 15 months
in office. Official bulletin says death came after a long illness,
describes him as an outstanding leader whose memory will remain
forever in the hearts of the Soviet people. No indication of
successor; seven held possible. By John F. Burns. 1,000.
    Undated-ANDROPOV-OBIT-Detailed obituary. By Wolfgang Saxon. 4,000.
Moved.
    Washington-ANDROPOV-U.S.-Reagan administration reaction to the news,
including the weighing of the effect on relations of the changing of
the guard; other Washington reaction. By Bernard Gwertzman. 1,200.
    Moscow-ANDROPOV-ANALYSIS-Analysis of the situation in Moscow in the
wake of Andropov's death. By Serge Schmemann. 1,000.
    Washington-ANDROPOV-IMPACT-An analysis of how the Andropov death
could affect East-West relations, arms talks, etc. By Leslie H. Gelb.
1,000.
    Moscow-ANDROPOV-SCENE-The scene in Moscow; how the man in the street
is reacting. By John F. Burns. 900.
    Undated-ANDROPOV-SKETCHES-Sketches of the possible successors. 400
each.
    
OTHER INTERNATIONAL NEWS
    Beirut-LEBANON-Israeli jets attack targets on the Beirut-Damascus
highway. 750.
    Beirut-LEBANON-EVACUATE-More Americans are evacuated from
strife-torn Lebanon. By Thomas L. Friedman. 800.
    
POLITICS
    Des Moines-DEBATE-Advance on the Democratic debate scheduled
Saturday. By Howell Raines. 900.
    Des Moines-GLENN-Sen. Glenn announces filing of a complaint against
labor's financing of rival Walter Mondale. By David Shribman. 750.
    Des Moines-POLITICAL-MEMO-Reflections on the screwball quality of
the Iowa caucuses. By Howell Raines. 900. Moved.
    
WASHINGTON
    SLAVES-Justice Department voices concern about light penalties for
convicted slaveholders in Texas. By Leslie Maitland Werner. 750.
    
GENERAL
    Houston-DAVID-Doctors treating David, the boy in the ''bubble,''
hold press conference. By Seth S. King. 750.
    Long Beach, Calif.-DOUGLAS-Vote to end strike at McDonnell Douglas
is considered a major setback for UAW. By Robert Lindsey. 750.
    Kansas City-KAYCEE-If cities could talk, both the Kansas City in
Missouri and the one in Kansas might now be saying, ''Oops!'' By
Andrew H. Malcolm. 900. Moved.
    
CULTURE, ENTERTAINMENT
    New York-THEATER-REVIEW-Frank Rich reviews ''The Rink,'' starring
Chita Rivera and Liza Minnelli. 900. Upcoming.
    Undated-BOOK-REVIEW-Anatole Broyard reviews ''The Spellbinders'' by
Ann Ruth Willner. 750. Early.
    New York-TV-WEEKEND-John J. O'Connor comments on the weekend TV
highlights, focusing on 'Celebrity,'' a 6 1/2-hour, three-episode
mini-series based on a novel by the late Tommy Thompson, getting
under way on NBC Sunday. 900. Moved.
    
SPORTS
    Sarajevo-OLYMPICS-HOCKEY-The U.S.A. trys to start over after two
defeats. By Neil Amdur. 800.
    Sarajevo-OLYMPICS-FIGURES-First day of the figure-skating
competition. By Frank Litsky. 800.
    
FINANCIAL
    Washington-PRICES-January producer prices reported up 0.6 percent,
largest gain since November 1982. By Jonathan Fuerbringer. 800.
    New York-TAX-XII-Planning ahead for next year's taxes. By Gary
Klott. 1,500 (last of a series on 1983 income-tax preparation).
    New York-MARKET-Today's stock market activity. By Kenneth N. Gilpin.
800.
    New York-FED-The weekly money supply report. By Michael Quint. 800.
    
Editors:
    All items listed on the opening sked have been filed.
    
nyt-02-10-84 1420est
***************

a218  1144  10 Feb 84
PM-Andropov-Funeral, 1st-Ld Writethru, a0644,0309
Eds: All new info, rewrites thruout
    MOSCOW (AP) - President Yuri V. Andropov will be buried in Red
Square next Tuesday, the Soviet Union announced today.
    Andropov's body will lie in state in the House of Unions from
Saturday afternoon until Monday night.
    The announcement, issued by the official Tass news agency, said
Konstantin U. Chernenko, the chief party ideologist and one of the
most senior members of the Politburo, will head the funeral.
    Andropov died on Thursday and the Soviet Union announced his death
today.
    The responsibility for heading the official funeral committee has in
the past has gone to the Politburo member who ultimately became the
successor to a deceased party chief. Andropov headed the funeral
committee for his predecessor, Leonid I. Brezhnev.
    Chernenko is 72, and it was not immediately known whether his
selection indicated he had emerged as Andropov's successor, or whether
it was an honor afforded to the senior Politburo member pending later
succession announcements.
    The rest of the funeral commission was to be made up of other
Politburo members, including Geidar Aliev, Vitaly Vorotnikov, Mikhail
Gorbachev, Viktor Grishin, Andrei Gromyko, Grigory Romanov, Mikhail
Solomentsev, Nikolai Tikhonov and Dmitri Ustinov and other Soviet
officials.
    The announcement said Andropov would lie in state from 3 p.m.
Saturday afternoon until 10 p.m. and on the next two days from 9 a.m.
until 10 p.m.
    Saturday through Tuesday were declared official days of mourning.
    Tass said Andropov would be buried in the hallowed Red Square with
the full ceremony due a head of state, including a memorial volley of
gunfire that would take place simultaneously in Moscow and other
major Soviet cities.
    All work will be stopped for five minutes in most enterprises around
the nation, Tass aid, and factory, train and ship whistles will sound
for three minutes.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1442EDT
***************

a219  1149  10 Feb 84
BC-Andropov Medical,240
Andropov Suffered Kidney Disease, Diabetes
    MOSCOW (AP) - Soviet President Yuri V. Andropov suffered kidney
disease and diabetes, and underwent kidney dialysis for a year
preceding his death, according to the official medical report released
Friday.
    The Russian-language report issued by the official news agency Tass,
said Andropov also suffered fluctuating blood pressure.
    The report, as translated by The Associated Press, said:
    ''Yuri Andropov, born in 1914, suffered nephritis, nephrosclerosis,
secondary hypertension, and sugar diabetes, which were worsened by
chronic kidney insufficiency.
    ''Since February 1983, in connection with the halt of the functions
of his kidneys, (he) was under treatment of hemodialysis (artificial
kidney dialysis).
    ''The treatment supplied satisfactory health and work capability but
at the end of January 1984 the condition worsened in connection with
the growth of dystrophical (degenerative) changes in the internal
organs and progressive hypotonia.
    ''On the 9th of February 1984, at 16 hours 50 minutes (4:50 p.m.
Moscow time, 8:50 a.m. EST), because of heart and vascular
insufficiency and the cessation of breathing, death has come.''
    The report was signed by physician Yevgenny Chazov, acting members
of the Academy of Medical Science of the U.S.S.R. Nikolai Lopatkin,
Nikolai Malinovsky and other members, according to Tass. Chazov also
signed the medical report on Leonid I. Brezhnev's death in 1982.
    Andropov had been ill since he took over, and had been out of public
view for more than five months.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1448EDT
***************

a221  1227  10 Feb 84
AM-Andropov, Bjt - 2 takes,970
URGENT
Funeral Tuesday; World Awaits Word of Successor
Laserphotos NY29,30,31,35,36,41,45, Laserphoto color project
NY25,26,27, WX7,SJV42 and SLV57
By ANDREW ROSENTHAL
Associated Press Writer
    MOSCOW (AP) - President Yuri V. Andropov is dead after only 15
months in power, a rule that began with promises of change and ended
with the former KGB chief trying to govern a superpower from his
sickbed.
    As Soviets hung out mourning flags Friday, the rest of the world
awaited word on who would assume the Kremlin helm in this time of
heightened U.S.-Soviet tensions.
    The government announced at 2:20 p.m. (6:20 a.m. EST) Friday that
the 69-year-old Andropov, ''staunch fighter for the ideals of
communism and for peace,'' had died 22 hours earlier, at 4:50 p.m.
Thursday (8:50 a.m. EST).
    For months the president and Communist Party general secretary had
been seriously ill with diabetes, kidney and circulatory problems. An
official announcement said he died of ''heart and vascular
insufficiency.''
    Hours later, the official Tass news agency announced Andropov would
be buried Tuesday in Red Square, and said party ideologist Konstantin
Chernenko would head the funeral commission.
    It could not be learned whether this meant the 72-year-old
Chernenko, a senior member of the ruling Politburo, had an edge in the
succession. When party chief Leonid I. Brezhnev died Nov. 10, 1982,
Andropov was designated to head the funeral.
    If the Kremlin hierarchy decides a younger man is needed, the
strongest contenders are considered to be Mikhail S. Gorbachev, 52,
and Grigory V. Romanov, 61, both known as economic reformers.
    Such older, powerful Politburo members as Defense Minister Dmitri F.
Ustinov, 75, and Foreign Minister Andrei A. Gromyko, 74, are expected
to play a major role in deciding on a paramount leader for this land
of 280 million people.
    There were no official word on when the party Central Committee
would meet to ratify a successor chosen by the 12 surviving members of
the ruling Politburo.
    Party officials worked into the night Friday, their office buildings
ablaze with light as darkness and snow fell on the Soviet capital.
Workers hung black-trimmed hammer-and-sickle flags from public
buildings.
    Near the Kremlin, people lined up in the biting cold to buy
portraits of Andropov at a poster store. Muscovites seemed genuinely
saddened.
    ''I consider him remarkable,'' one woman told a reporter. ''I think
that he tried to help the Soviet Union realize its greatness.''
    Andropov, who acceded to the leadership after Brezhnev's death Nov.
9, 1982, had the briefest tenure of any sole party chief in Soviet
history.
    He launched campaigns to reform the economy, fight corruption and
generally shed what he called the ''inertia'' of previous
administrations. But he did not live long enough to see his programs
past their early stages. After 15 months, the Soviet Union was little
changed internally.
    Internationally, however, changes were marked. Soviet relations with
the West deteriorated notably during Andropov's rule, as staunchly
anti-Soviet Reagan administration dueled with the Kremlin.
    The U.S.-Soviet chill deepened last September, when Soviet warplanes
shot down a South Korean jetliner, and in November, when Moscow's
negotiators walked out on the U.S.-Soviet nuclear arms-reduction talks
in Geneva, Switzerland.
    Some U.S. administration officials attributed Soviet
''intransigence'' at the arms talks to a lack of firm leadership at
the Kremlin because of Andropov's prolonged illness.
    In Santa Barbara, Calif., where he is vacationing at his mountaintop
ranch, President Reagan was awakened by aide Michael Deaver at 3:20
a.m. PST and informed of the Soviet president's death.
    Secretary of State George P. Shultz later told a news conference
that Reagan is eager for a ''constructive and realistic dialogue''
with the Kremlin's new leaders.
    Early speculation was that Vice President George Bush or Shultz, or
both, would represent the United States at the Andropov funeral, as
they did when Brezhnev was buried at the Kremlin 15 months ago. But
congressmen of both parties were urging Reagan himself to attend, as a
gesture of good will.
    Many European and other Western leaders expressed the hope that the
Soviet Union's new leader will resume the East-West dialogue.
    Elder statesman W. Averell Harriman, a former U.S. ambassador in
Moscow, said in Washington it is ''time for caution and care in the
conduct of our affairs with the Soviet Union as the nation undergoes
the transition to new leadership.'' Harriman was one of the few
Westerners to meet privately with Andropov during his brief tenure.
    Former Secretary of State Henry A. Kissinger said on U.S. television
he now expects ''some sort of peace offensive'' from the Soviets.
    Although many outsiders believed the Soviets would choose a younger
man, such as Gorbachev or Romanov, for the party leadership, there
also was speculation that an interim administration could emerge if
the hierarchy was unable to settle on a clear successor.
    The white-haired Chernenko, who was shouldered aside in 1982 in the
fight to succeed Brezhnev, his mentor, has himself been ill the past
year. Pneumonia took him out of the public eye for two months. Other
Politburo members, such as Mikhail S. Solomentsev, 70, who runs the
party discipline branch, could emerge as wild cards in the succession
race.
    Both Gorbachev and Romanov are members of the Central Committee
Secretariat, always considered an important step toward the party
leadership.
    Gorbachev has specialized in agriculture and was considered a strong
supporter of Andropov's policies of decentralizing economic
management. Romanov also became identified with economic reform, and
recently has been prominent in foreign and defense affairs.
    Some foreign Soviet experts suggest that the accession of a younger
man to the leadership might usher in an era of tighter, even
Stalin-style discipline, since he would not have strong memories of
the excesses of that dictatorial era.
    MORE
    
ap-ny-02-10 1526EDT
***************

a222  1240  10 Feb 84
AM-Andropov, Bjt - 1st Add,570
MOSCOW: dictatorial era.
    Illness had plagued Andropov for years before he took over the top
party job, and rumors about his health were as much a part of his rule
as his domestic and foreign policy efforts.
    In the early days of his tenure, Andropov seemed able to overcome
his illness. The tall, bespectacled former secret police chief kept a
schedule of diplomatic and official appearances that was dizzying by
Soviet standards - meeting with dozens of foreign dignitaries.
    But he disappeared from public view after an Aug. 18, 1983, meeting
with nine U.S. senators and never reappeared. Many foreign observers
feared the Kremlin power structure could not maintain an absentee
leader, but the Soviets insisted Andropov had recovered enough by
winter to take part in day-to-day affairs.
    Some Soviet and Western sources said Andropov was running the
Politburo from his sickbed in his country home outside Moscow, using
Gorbachev as a go-between and relying on Ustinov to run day-to-day
affairs in his absence. The only official statement on his illness was
in November when officials said he had a ''cold.''
    The official death notice hailed Andropov as ''an outstanding leader
of the Communist Party and of the Soviet state, a staunch fighter for
the ideals of communism and for peace.''
    Seven hours later, Tass ran a Central Committee statement saying
Soviet policies remained unchanged.
    ''Our party and state will continue to put into life in a firm and
unswerving way the principles of peaceful coexistence between states
with different social systems,'' it said. ''. . . Peace without wars
is our ideal.''
    The almost day-long delay in announcing the death of a leader is
usual in the Soviet Union.
    The first indications of Andropov's passing came when Soviet radio
discontinued normal programming Friday morning and played somber
classical music. The first semiofficial announcement of the death came
from the French foreign minister, Claude Cheysson, at an
international meeting in Brussels, Belgium.
    Yuri Vladimirovich Andropov was born June 15, 1914, to a railroad
worker and his wife in a south Russian village, Nagutskaya Station.
    He rose through a Soviet bureaucracy depleted by the Stalinist
purges. In 1956, he was ambassador to Hungary during the Soviet
suppression of the Budapest uprising.
    Returning to Moscow, Andropov began moving up through the Central
Committee Secretariat and became KGB chief in 1967.
    Modernizing the world's largest secret police and spy organization,
Andropov brought tight party control to the KGB and in 1973 achieved
full membership on the Politburo.
    Over the next 10 years, Andropov - whose aura of scholarly intellect
and self-discipline set him apart from his ebullient,
publicity-loving predecessor - achieved what many Kremlin-watchers
considered the impossible: he became the first KGB chief in Soviet
history to take over the Communist Party leadership.
    The popular conception of Andropov was of an energetic and
self-disciplined man, especially in the first months.
    Despite his background in the secret world of the KGB, he came into
the public limelight as a skillful master of public relations - a
knack he exhibited in his invitation to 12-year-old American
schoolgirl Samantha Smith to visit the Soviet Union.
    Said one man outside a Moscow department store Friday, ''The
announcement was very bad news for me because Andropov was such a
businesslike man and a strong-willed person.''
    
ap-ny-02-10 1537EDT
***************

n059  1352  10 Feb 84
BC-ADVISORY-newhouse-update
    This is an updated schedule of stories from the Newhouse News
Service. A complete wrapup will follow completion of today's report.
    The Newhouse News Service can be reached at 202-383-7800.
FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 10, 1984
    SOV-MILITARY (Wood - Newhouse) Kremlinologists disagree over whether
the Soviet Union's bellicose foreign policy under Yuri Andropov was a
result of the accession of military over civilian power in the
Kremlin. But they do agree that no matter who succeeds Andropov,
Moscow's military buildup, intransigence on arms control, and
troublemaking abroad are unlikely to abate. For Sunday use. About
800. (To be sent).
    PESTICIDES-WELL (Gram - Newhouse) The pesticide Temik is a boon to
farmers in their fight against the Colorado potato beetle, but a bane
to homeowners in several states where the dangerous chemical has been
found in well water. Undated. 700. (Transmitted as Newhouse 001).
    LAW-JURIES (Landau - Newhouse) In establishing a right of privacy
for potential jurors, is the Supreme Court setting the stage for
similar secrecy regarding other trial participants - such as
witnesses and defendants? Law column, for Monday use. 650.
(Transmitted as Newhouse 004).
    CITY-WILDCAT (McLaughlin - Newhouse) The Wildcat Service Corp. in
New York is one of a handful of agencies in the country helping
''unemployables'' - dropouts, ex-cons and the like - to get and keep
a job. But it will go under unless it gets some outside money. From
New York. New York, New York - a column of commentary. 650.
(Transmitted as Newhouse 006).
    MAYOR (Wilson - Newhouse) New York Mayor Edward Koch, in attempting
to write his autobiography, instead produces paean to his city - and
a good one. Undated. 650. (Transmitted as Newhouse 005).
    McMANUS-HOLLINGS (McManus - Newhouse) A vote for Hollings is a vote
to cut the deficit. Undated. Northern Perspective column, for McManus
subscribers only. 1,050. (Transmitted as Newhouse 002, 003).
RB END
    
nyt-02-10-84 1638est
***************

a229  1412  10 Feb 84
AM-Andropov-World Reaction, Bjt,780
World Leaders Express Regret Over Death of Andropov
By MARCUS ELIASON
Associated Press Writer
    The death of Soviet President Yuri V. Andropov evoked formal
expressions of regret from leaders around the world Friday, along with
hopes that the next head of the Soviet Union might renew East-West
detente.
    From Japan to West Europe to Central America, Andropov was eulogized
as ''a statesman of high stature'' and ''a man of vision.'' The
general assessment, however, was that his tenure was too short to
leave a lasting impression.
    Because of his relatively brief 15-month term as Soviet leader and
his long illness, Andropov established few close personal
relationships with policy makers in other nations. It was reflected in
the lack of emotion in many leaders' statements.
    In a message to the Soviet leadership, President Reagan expressed
''condolences and sympathies'' and the ''deep and heartfelt desire of
the American people for world peace.''
    French President Francois Mitterrand said Andropov ''could have been
a stabilizing factor. He was a man of great authority with a deep
knowledge of many issues.''
    West German Chancellor Helmut Kohl said he planned to attend
Andropov's funeral. ''The extensive talks I held with the deceased in
Moscow in July 1983 will remain in my mind as an important
contribution for the necessary continuation of political dialogue
between East and West, also in difficult times,'' he said.
    Willy Brandt, West Germany's former chancellor and initiator of
detente in the early 1970s, praised Andropov for showing awareness of
his ''responsibility for world peace,'' and said he hoped ''no period
of uncertainty arises'' about future Soviet policy.
    Italy's Socialist premier, Bettino Craxi, said the death came at ''a
particularly difficult moment'' for international relations. In a
telegram to the Kremlin, he said the times called for ''the greatest
effort of reciprocal understanding for the prompt resumption of a real
and efficient dialogue of peace and collaboration.''
    In Britain, Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher also made known her
regret at Andropov's death, and there was speculation she might attend
the funeral in the hope of meeting the Kremlin leadership.
    Foreign Minister Uffe Ellemann-Jensen of Denmark said, ''Andropov
made an interesting and promising start,'' but that his illness had
slowed decision-making in Moscow and immobilized the disarmament talks
in Geneva.
    National flags at U.N. headquarters in Geneva and New York were
lowered, and the U.N. banner was flown at half-staff. U.N.
Secretary-General Javier Perez de Cuellar expressed condolences in a
message to the Soviet leadership and said: ''Having had the privilege
of meeting and holding detailed talks with President Andropov during
1983, I could not fail to be impressed by his fervent commitment to
work for world peace and an end to the arms race.''
    In the Soviet Union and allied East European countries, somber music
filled the officially controlled airwaves. Public buildings in
Czechoslovakia, one of the most loyal Soviet allies, were festooned
with black banners.
    The Bulgarian official news agency BTA said, ''The news about the
death ... threw the Bulgarian people into deep grief and sorrow.''
    But there were some smiles and sardonic comments among citizens
people in Poland. ''I'm glad he is dead,'' said one mustachioed Polish
worker without elaboration.
    A group of four youths rushed to a liquor store to buy cherry
brandy, and chatted mirthfully. ''We were afraid they would declare a
day of mourning and close the liquor store,'' one said.
    Nobel Peace Prize laureate Lech Walesa, founder of the Solidarity
workers' movement, said, ''As a good Christian I say, 'May he rest in
peace.' That is all I have to say.''
    The Soviet leadership had strongly opposed Solidarity, the only
independent labor union in the Soviet bloc.
    East German leader Erich Honecker was quoted by the official ADN
news agency as describing Andropov as ''the outstanding leader of the
international Communist and workers' movement.''
    Daniel Ortega, leader of the Marxist Sandinista junta in Nicaragua,
said: ''I regret it very much. The Nicaraguan people also are
intensely sorry because comrade Andropov was a great friend of the
Nicaraguan people.''
    Syria, the Soviet Union's closest ally in the Middle East, declared
seven days of official mourning. President Hafez Assad cabled the
Soviet leadership praising Andropov as ''a distinguished statesman.''
    Prime Minister Yasuhiro Nakasone of Japan said in a statement, ''I
am deeply grieved'' about Andropov's death. Noting Japan's commitment
to world peace, he said he had hoped that that Andropov was ''the man
who could achieved this goal. I therefore deeply regret that ...
Andropov should have passed away without having had the chance to
seize that opportunity.''
    Yasser Arafat, chairman of the Palestine Liberation Organization,
called Andropov ''a faithful friend to the embattled Palestinian
people and their just cause'' in a telegram of condolence.
    
ap-ny-02-10 1711EDT
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n062  1421  10 Feb 84
BC-GLASS-COLUMN ADV12 1stLd Writethru
(For Release Sun Feb 12)
(Updates to note Andropov death)
Commentary: War on the Cheap
By ANDREW J. GLASS
c.1984 Cox News Service
    WASHINGTON - Had the Marines gone into Lebanon the same manner as
the Israelis - tank motors roaring, sweeping through territory,
interrogating suspects - the debacle in Beirut might well have been
avoided.
    The Marines should have been ordered to take the high ground above
that sad city and to hold it against the Syrian-backed Moslem
militias. That would surely have cost losses up front. But it almost
surely would have prevented the Sunday massacre: Only under a bunker
strategy could so many men be caught sleeping in one place.
    Despite the pleas of his Lebanese clients, President Reagan refused
to fan the Marines out. When the Israelis suddenly withdrew - thereby
fulfilling a long-standing Washington goal - a power vacuum ensued
and the seeds of destruction for the inflexible Gemayel regime were
sown.
    In assessing the Beirut carnage, the Wall Street Journal's State
Department correspondent, David Ignatius, wrote that Reagan's
decision to withdraw the Marines was ''a stunning defeat for his
Lebanon policy and a haunting reminder of the Carter administration's
failure in Iran.''
    Before returning to Washington, Ignatius had served as the Journal's
Middle East correspondent. When Reagan's staff saw his article, it
went bananas. ''It stinks,'' presidential spokesman Larry Speakes
said of the story. ''The mission remains. The goals remain. We are
looking for more effective ways to do it.''
    What Speakes didn't say was that the Democratic-led House was poised
to pass a resolution calling for the Marines' prompt withdrawal. The
president's men knew that the resolution had been reworked to reflect
a non-accusatory tone and that quite a few House Republicans were
going to go along with it. Not the way you would want to kick off a
re-election campaign.
     So the president used the resumption of anarchy in Beirut - which
has pretty much been the state of affairs there for years - to pull
the Marines back to the ships. For the moment, the political heat on
him has cooled.
     John Sears ran the Reagan campaign for the GOP nomination in 1980 -
until he got bounced because he forget to pretend that Reagan was
more than a smooth front man mouthing lines written for him by his
handlers.
     So when the Washington Post called Sears to ask him what he thought
of the Lebanon business, Sears said: ''He'll just walk away from this
and not look back. The Democrats will try to get him on the
leadership issue and accuse him of getting himself into a bad
situation, but he won't respond or even acknowledge that it was his
fault.
     ''He walks away from more political car crashes than anyone.... By
November, no one will remember or care about how he came to put the
Marines there in the first place.''
    Sears' judgment would surely be accurate were the Reagan circle able
to write off Lebanon as a bad bargain and go on to other things. But,
apparently, they cannot.
     Reagan blames the Syrians for the upsurge in fighting in Lebanon.
And in announcing that the Marines would be moved out, he also
authorized U.S. naval guns and warplanes to attack anybody firing on
Beirut from Syrian-controlled areas.
     It's war on the cheap. But it's the kind of move which the Syrians
and their Soviet friends must respond to. Before the death of Yuri
Andropov, the Soviet leader, the Kremlin had decided to send Geidar
Aliev, a ranking Politburo member, to go to Damascus to review the
situation. Now a top-level Syrian delegation will go to Moscow.
     The Syrians regard Lebanon as their turf. The Soviets note that
their southern border is as near to Beirut as Boston is to
Washington. It's not going to be easy to get either of them to back
off.
     Reagan is going through much the same sort of political gymnastics
that enthralled Washington during the Vietnam decade. We are a
superpower. If we send the Communists the wrong signal, it could
unravel our position throughout the world.
     It once took more than 50,000 American lives in Vietnam, and
hundreds of billions of dollars of public treasure, to get that kind
of thinking out of our system. One wonders what the cost in Lebanon
will be?
    (Distributed by The N.Y. Times News Service
    
nyt-02-10-84 1707est
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a232  1458  10 Feb 84
AM-Congress-Andropov,650
Urge Reagan to Attend Funeral of Soviet Leader
By MIKE SHANAHAN
Associated Press Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Members of Congress from both political parties
urged President Reagan on Friday to attend the funeral of Soviet
President Yuri Andropov as a dramatic gesture toward thawing
U.S.-Soviet relations.
    ''I think this could be an opportunity for President Reagan and I
hope he does not miss it,'' said Sen. Charles McC. Mathias Jr. of
Maryland, a senior Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee.
    ''This one of those opportunities in history where one government
without loss of face can make a new approach to another government,''
said Mathias. ''This is a fresh start.''
    A Democratic member of the committee, Sen. Paul Tsongas of
Massachusetts, said Reagan erred in not attending the funeral of
Andropov's predecessor, Leonid Brezhnev, 15 months ago.
    ''I would hope Reagan would not repeat the mistake,'' he said. ''I
think there is great symbolic significance in attending a funeral.''
    ''The president handles himself well in such situations and could
make some headway by attending the funeral,'' said Sen. Richard Lugar,
R-Ind., also a member of the committee.
    Sen. Larry Pressler, R-S.D., said if Reagan successfully opened new
channels of communication with Moscow by going to the funeral, ''In a
sense Yuri Andropov could be more significant in death than in
life.''
    By making the trip, Reagan has a chance to ''make a gesture without
making any concessions,'' Pressler said.
    Although the sentiment overwhelmingly favored a decision by Reagan
to take advantage of Andropov's death to establish personal contact
with the interim Soviet leadership, a few members of Congress said
Reagan should stay home and send a top administration official such as
Vice President George Bush.
    ''If I were Ronald Reagan I probably wouldn't (attend the
funeral),'' said Sen. John Heinz, R-Pa. ''Our relationships with the
Soviet Union have been poor, and Mr. Andropov has had a hand, I think,
in contributing to that problem.''
    Sen. Jake Garn, R-Utah, dismissed the symbolism of a Reagan visit to
the Soviet Union now, saying, ''I think people make too much of
whether that means a good signal or a bad signal. I don't think the
Russians care, either.''
    Even if Reagan doesn't lead the U.S. delegation to the funeral,
there was almost universal sentiment that the president should reach
out to the Soviet leadership, especially since his most recent
speeches have been conciliatory in tone.
    Senate Majority Leader Howard H. Baker Jr., R-Tenn., said the change
will offer ''a chance to re-examine our relationship and hopefully it
will be different and better.''
    Sen. Charles Percy, R-Ill., chairman of the Foreign Relations
Committee, said, ''I don't believe relations (between the United
States and the Soviet Union) can deteriorate much further than they
have now.''
    Lugar also said Andropov's death presents an opportunity for the
superpowers to resume arms control negotiations.
    ''The Soviets have had two reasons not to negotiate,'' Lugar said.
''Andropov's long illness created a vacuum in Soviet leadership, and
the decision by the western European nations last year to go ahead
with the deployment of intermediate-range missiles showed to the
Soviets that NATO was still strong.''
    It is possible, Lugar said, that ''new leadership in the Soviet
Union may mean the time is right for new negotiations,'' although it
appears Andropov's replacement ''will most likely be of the same
hard-line variety with the backing of the Soviet military and the
KGB.''
    Sen. Dale Bumpers, D-Ark., who was among a group of senators who
were the last U.S. officials to see Andropov alive last August, said
it will probably be a year or two years before the direction of
U.S.-Soviet relations becomes clear.
    ''It's going to be a good long while before we'll know what this
means,'' said Bumpers. ''It's rather dangerous for the Soviet Union,
because if they don't have their ducks in a row, and if they don't
have a quiet and peaceful transition, it could portend something of an
upheaval. I think we should remain calm and simply observe.''
    
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a233  1513  10 Feb 84
AM-US-Soviet, Bjt,800
US Hopes for Thaw with Soviets in Post-Andropov Era
An AP News Analysis
By BARRY SCHWEID
Associated Press Writer
    WASHINGTON (AP) - The United States, offering to work with the
Soviet Union ''to make the world a safer place,'' is trying to take
the chill out of superpower relations after the death of Yuri V.
Andropov.
    Calling for a resumption of stalemated arms control talks, Secretary
of State George P. Shultz spoke hopefully of reducing the risks of
war by engaging the new Kremlin leadership in ''a constructive and
realistic dialogue.''
    The conciliatory statement by Shultz also contained a challenge to
the new leadership ''to respond in kind'' to the American pledge to
''work to build a more stable and more positive relationship.''
    President Reagan, in a personal message of ''condolences and
sympathies'' from his California ranch, also expressed hope for
''genuine cooperation with the Soviet Union to make the world
better.''
    Reagan's presence at the Andropov funeral next Tuesday in Red Square
was held out as a possibility if a successor to the Soviet leader is
chosen by then.
    The president's letter to the Soviets was similar to one he sent to
Moscow 15 months ago after President Leonid Brezhnev's death, but
U.S. and Soviet policies subsequently deepened the chill that had
developed between the two governments.
    Their sharp decline was accelerated in September when the Soviets
shot down a South Korean commercial jetliner with 269 people aboard.
Talks to limit nuclear missiles in Europe were suspended in late
November and parallel discussions on strategic weapons ground to a
halt in early December.
    The Soviets apparently had concluded they could not expect a major
shift in U.S. policy under Reagan, who had condemned their government
last year as an ''evil empire.''
    Despite calls by Reagan and Shultz for warmer relations, many other
officials or former officials were voicing little optimism.
    Deployment of new U.S. missiles in western Europe is proceeding on
schedule, and the Soviets are moving new weapons into eastern Europe.
    With the nuclear weapons limitation talks deadlocked, the
superpowers are developing new missiles and bombers. Reagan last week
asked Congress for a record $305 billion for defense.
    The administration has ruled out making concessions to encourage a
Soviet return to the bargaining table in Geneva, Switzerland.
    At the same time, the Soviets continue to pour arms into Syria for
its campaign against the Lebanese government - an action that has
drawn a prolonged, harsh response from the Reagan administration.
    One major exception to the chilled relationship is the projected
sale of 22 million tons of wheat and corn to the Soviet Union this
year.
    Also, negotiations are due to resume next month in Vienna to reduce
NATO and Warsaw Pact conventional forces in central Europe.
    ''I wouldn't expect the Kremlin's military policy to change at all''
following Andropov's death, said Assistant Defense Secretary Richard
Perle, who is in charge of international security policy at the
Pentagon. ''The Soviet general staff is pretty much in charge of
military policy and that will continue.''
    However, reflecting a widespread view in the administration, he said
the ''paralysis'' on the Soviet side in the arms talks may have been
due in part to Andropov's lingering illness. This theory holds that
other Kremlin officials were reluctant to take on the responsibility
of making major shifts in position.
    But Kenneth Adelman, the U.S. arms control director, said in a
recent interview that the negotiations had not reached the point where
a political decision had to be taken in Moscow. Until that point,
Adelman said, the Soviet military always dominates the discussions.
    ''In any negotiations, if one side just doesn't want to deal it's
hard to make a deal,'' he said.
    James Schlesinger, former secretary of defense and CIA director,
predicted continuity in Soviet foreign policy if a senior Polituburo
member succeeds Andropov.
    ''We must recognize,'' he said, ''that the Soviets are in no mood to
talk with us. Relations are very, very cool at this time.''
    Former Secretary of State Henry A. KQISSINGER SAID HE EXPECTED THE
Soviets to launch ''some sort of peace offensive'' and to take ''a
calmer tone'' toward the United States while choosing a successor. He
said this might include ''the beginning of some negotiations.''
    In that event, Kissinger said, the United States should let the
Soviets know that ''if they want serious, concrete, precise talks, we
will be more than ready.''
    Malcolm Toon, a former U.S. ambassador to Moscow, said he expected
no significant Kremlin changes as a result of Andropov's death.
    ''I think we're going to be dealing with the same sort of person
we've seen in the leadership over the past four or five years, an old
man, a member of the older generation,'' he said. ''Probably somebody
moving in there on a transitional basis and not any basic change in
policies or behavior for a long time to come.''
    ---
    EDITORS NOTE: Barry Schweid covers foreign affairs for The
Associated Press.
    
ap-ny-0)x-10 1811jedt
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